Castile-La Mancha parliamentary election, 2011
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 2011 Castile-La Mancha parliamentary election was held on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 8th Courts of Castile-La Mancha, the regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of Castile-La Mancha. At stake were all seats in the Courts, determining the President of the Junta of Communities of Castile-La Mancha. The number of members increased from 47 to 49 compared to the previous election.
The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) had formed the government of the region since the first democratic election in 1983, winning a majority of seats at all elections. However, this time the election was won by the People's Party (PP), which gained control of the region for the first time.
One of the first tasks of the Assembly was to elect the President of Castilla-La Mancha from among their number, with the PP candidate Maria Dolores de Cospedal replacing the outgoing President, José María Barreda, incumbent since April 2004.[1]
Electoral system
The number of seats in the Castile-La Mancha Courts was set to a fixed-number of 49. All Courts members were elected in 5 multi-member districts, corresponding to Castile-La Mancha's five provinces, using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system. Each district was assigned a fixed set of seats, distributed as follows: Albacete (10), Ciudad Real (11), Cuenca (8), Guadalajara (8) and Toledo (12).
Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 3% of valid votes in each district (which include blank ballots—for none of the above) were entitled to enter the seat distribution.[2]
Opinion polls
Vote
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.
Date | Polling Firm/Source | PSOE | PP | IU | UPyD | Oth. | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 May 2011 | Regional Election | 43.4 | 48.1 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4.7 |
Exit polls | |||||||
16 May | GAD | 44.1 | 49.6 | 6.3 | 5.5 | ||
11–12 May | Metroscopia | 42.2 | 47.9 | 9.9 | 5.7 | ||
13–20 Apr | Celeste-Tel[lower-alpha 1] | 45.6 | 47.7 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 2.1 | |
17 Mar–17 Apr | CIS | 45.0 | 46.3 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 1.3 |
11–14 Apr | Sigma-2 | 43.9 | 49.3 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 5.4 | |
8–11 Apr | Ikerfel | 42.5 | 48.6 | 8.9 | 6.1 | ||
28 Feb–1 Mar | GAD | 44.0 | 50.3 | 5.7 | 6.3 | ||
26 Jan–5 Feb | PSOE | 44.5 | 43.9 | 11.6 | 0.6 | ||
11 Jan | Celeste-Tel | 47.2 | 45.3 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.9 |
30 Dec–3 Jan | NC-Report | 48.2 | 46.2 | 5.6 | 2.0 | ||
2011 | |||||||
20–30 Dec | DYM | 45.6 | 50.8 | 3.6 | 5.2 | ||
17–22 Dec | Sigma-2 | 43.7 | 50.0 | 6.3 | 6.3 | ||
2–4 Nov | DyS | 42.2 | 46.9 | 5.9 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 4.7 |
11–14 Oct | DyS | 41.3 | 47.4 | 11.3 | 6.1 | ||
28 Jun | Celeste-Tel | 47.4 | 45.0 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 2.4 |
21–25 May | Sigma-2 | 41.4 | 49.7 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 8.3 | |
14 Mar | Noxa | 48.1 | 44.1 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 4.0 |
4–14 Mar | DyS | 44.8 | 45.6 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
1–8 Mar | Obradoiro | 46.1 | 44.6 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 1.5 |
2010 | |||||||
7 Jun 2009 | EP Election | 39.9 | 51.5 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 11.6 |
2009 | |||||||
9 Mar 2008 | General Election | 44.5 | 49.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4.9 |
2008 | |||||||
27 May 2007 | Regional Election | 52.0 | 42.4 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 9.6 |
Seat projections
Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 25 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Courts of Castile-La Mancha.
Date | Polling Firm/Source | PSOE | PP | IU | UPyD | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 May 2011 | Regional Election | 24 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Exit polls | ||||||
16 May | GAD | 22−24 | 25−27 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11–12 May | Metroscopia | 24 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13–20 Apr | Celeste-Tel | 25 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 Mar–17 Apr | CIS | 24 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11–14 Apr | Sigma-2 | 22−24 | 25−27 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8–11 Apr | Ikerfel | 21−23 | 26−28 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
28 Feb–1 Mar | GAD | 22−24 | 25−27 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
26 Jan–5 Feb | PSOE | 25 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 Jan | Celeste-Tel | 25 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
30 Dec–3 Jan | NC-Report | 24−25 | 24−25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2011 | ||||||
20–30 Dec | DYM | 23 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17–22 Dec | Sigma-2 | 20−25 | 24−29 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2–4 Nov | DyS | 22 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11–14 Oct | DyS | 22 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
28 Jun | Celeste-Tel | 25 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
21–25 May | Sigma-2 | 20−23 | 26−29 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 Mar | Noxa | 25−26 | 23−24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4–14 Mar | DyS | 24 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1–8 Mar | Obradoiro | 25 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2010 | ||||||
2009 | ||||||
2008 | ||||||
27 May 2007 | Regional Election | 26 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Results
Overall
Party | Vote | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | ±pp | Won | +/− | ||
People's Party (PP) | 564,954 | 48.11 | 5.73 | 25 | 4 | |
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 509,738 | 43.40 | 8.56 | 24 | 2 | |
United Left of Castile-La Mancha (IUCLM) | 44,302 | 3.77 | 0.35 | 0 | ±0 | |
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) | 20,554 | 1.75 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) | 4,128 | 0.35 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Castilian Party (PCAS) | 2,752 | 0.23 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
The Greens-Green Group (LV-GV) | 2,375 | 0.20 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Ecolo-Greens Guadalajara (ECOLO-V) | 1,673 | 0.14 | 0.18 | 0 | ±0 | |
Citizens for Blank Votes (CenB) | 1,615 | 0.14 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Toledo Independent Citizens' Union (UCIT) | 1,430 | 0.12 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Castilian Unity (UdCa) | 745 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0 | ±0 | |
Citizens of Democratic Centre (CCD) | 507 | 0.04 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Blank ballots | 19,643 | 1.67 | 0.39 | |||
Total | 1,174,416 | 100.00 | 49 | 2 | ||
Valid votes | 1,174,416 | 98.69 | 0.56 | |||
Invalid votes | 15,570 | 1.31 | 0.56 | |||
Votes cast / turnout | 1,189,986 | 75.96 | 2.25 | |||
Abstentions | 376,655 | 24.04 | 2.25 | |||
Registered voters | 1,566,641 | |||||
Source: Argos Information Portal |
Notes
- ↑ This survey shows its poll results projected over candidacy votes (that is, votes going for political parties, excluding blank ballots). The vote percentage in the official election is calculated including blank ballots into the estimation. In order to obtain data comparable to both the official results as well as those of other surveys, a rule of three has been applied to the survey projections, with the results of the calculation being shown instead.