Pre-2016 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016

This article is a collection of statewide polls for the United States presidential election, 2016. The polls listed here, by state are from 2013 to December 31, 2015, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.

Note: Some states did not conduct polling before December 31, 2015

AlaskaAlaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[1] September 18–21, 2014 Hillary Clinton 39% Jeb Bush 44% 5 880 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 36% Chris Christie 46% 10
Hillary Clinton 39% Ted Cruz 46% 7
Hillary Clinton 40% Mike Huckabee 44% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% Sarah Palin 38% 6
Hillary Clinton 40% Rand Paul 45% 5
Public Policy Polling[2] July 31 – August 3, 2014 Hillary Clinton 38% Jeb Bush 47% 9 673 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 34% Chris Christie 45% 11
Hillary Clinton 39% Mike Huckabee 47% 8
Hillary Clinton 46% Sarah Palin 40% 6
Hillary Clinton 36% Rand Paul 50% 14
Public Policy Polling[3] May 8–11, 2014 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 47% 6 582 ± 4.1%
Hillary Clinton 41% Chris Christie 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 42% Mike Huckabee 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Sarah Palin 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 40% Rand Paul 46% 6
Public Policy Polling[4] January 30 – February 1, 2014 Hillary Clinton 39% Jeb Bush 47% 8 850 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 39% Chris Christie 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 41% Mike Huckabee 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% Sarah Palin 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 41% Rand Paul 47% 6
Public Policy Polling[5] July 25–28, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 49% 7 890 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 38% Chris Christie 46% 8
Hillary Clinton 49% Sarah Palin 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 49% 6
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Paul Ryan 47% 1
Public Policy Polling[6] February 4–5, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 43% 1 1,129 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 53% Sarah Palin 37% 16
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 43% 1

ArizonaArizona

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Strategies 360[7] December 4–9, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% 2 504 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 37% Marco Rubio 53% 16
Hillary Clinton 40% Ted Cruz 50% 10
Public Policy Polling[8] May 1–3, 2015 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 41% Tied 600 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 42% Ben Carson 42% Tied
Hillary Clinton 39% Chris Christie 46% 7
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 41% Mike Huckabee 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 40% Rand Paul 45% 5
Hillary Clinton 44% Rick Perry 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Scott Walker 44% 1
Lincoln Chafee 26% Scott Walker 41% 15
Martin O'Malley 25% Scott Walker 43% 18
Bernie Sanders 28% Scott Walker 43% 15
Jim Webb 26% Scott Walker 44% 18
Public Policy Polling[9] February 28 – March 2, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jan Brewer 39% 7 870 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 43% 3

ArkansasArkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing[10] October 21–27, 2014 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 47% 9 568 ± 4.1%
Gravis Marketing[11] September 8–11, 2014 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 49% 7 902 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 42% Rand Paul 48% 6
Public Policy Polling[12] September 18–24, 2014 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 46% 4 1453 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 41% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 41% Mike Huckabee 53% 12
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 45% 2
Public Policy Polling[13] August 1–3, 2014 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 46% 5 1,066 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 41% Chris Christie 42% 1
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 46% 4
Hillary Clinton 39% Mike Huckabee 55% 16
Hillary Clinton 42% Rand Paul 45% 3
Public Policy Polling[14] April 25–27, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5 840 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 38% 9
Hillary Clinton 44% Mike Huckabee 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 42% 6
Polling Company/WomenTrend[15] August 6–7, 2013 Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 42% 2 600 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 45% 3

CaliforniaCalifornia

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Field Poll[16] April 23 – May 16, 2015 Hillary Clinton 52% Jeb Bush 31% 21 435 ± 5.0%
Hillary Clinton 53% Marco Rubio 32% 21
Hillary Clinton 54% Scott Walker 30% 24
Emerson College[17] April 2–8, 2015 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 47% 6 881 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 56% Ted Cruz 45% 9
Hillary Clinton 53% Scott Walker 47% 6
Gravis Marketing[18] July 22–24, 2014 Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 40% 9 580 ± 4%

ColoradoColorado

9 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[19] November 11–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 38% Ben Carson 52% 14 1,262 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 48% 11
Hillary Clinton 36% Marco Rubio 52% 16
Hillary Clinton 38% Ted Cruz 51% 13
Bernie Sanders 40% Ben Carson 52% 12
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 46% 2
Bernie Sanders 39% Marco Rubio 52% 13
Bernie Sanders 42% Ted Cruz 49% 7
Quinnipiac University[20] July 9–20, 2015 Hillary Clinton 36% Jeb Bush 41% 5 1231 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 38% Scott Walker 47% 9
Hillary Clinton 38% Marco Rubio 46% 8
Joe Biden 36% Jeb Bush 45% 9
Joe Biden 36% Scott Walker 48% 12
Joe Biden 35% Marco Rubio 49% 14
Bernie Sanders 37% Jeb Bush 43% 6
Bernie Sanders 36% Scott Walker 44% 8
Bernie Sanders 35% Marco Rubio 46% 11
Quinnipiac University[21] March 29 – April 7, 2015 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 38% 3 894 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 41% Chris Christie 39% 2
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 41% 1
Hillary Clinton 41% Mike Huckabee 41% Tied
Hillary Clinton 41% Rand Paul 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 41% 1
Hillary Clinton 41% Scott Walker 42% 1
Quinnipiac University[22] February 5–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 36% 8 1,049 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 34% 9
Hillary Clinton 44% Mike Huckabee 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 41% 2
Hillary Clinton 42% Scott Walker 40% 2
Public Policy Polling[23] July 17–20, 2014 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 40% 1 653 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 39% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Mike Huckabee 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 45% 1
Quinnipiac University[24] July 10–14, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 40% 4 1,147 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 40% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Mike Huckabee 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 46% 3
Quinnipiac University[25] April 15–21, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 40% 5 1,298 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 42% Tied
Hillary Clinton 45% Mike Huckabee 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 48% 5
Public Policy Polling[26] March 13–16, 2014 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 39% 9 568 ± 4.1%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 38% 7
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 44% 3
Quinnipiac University[27] January 29 – February 2, 2014 Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 42% 1 1,139 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 47% 4
Hillary Clinton 43% Paul Ryan 48% 5
Public Policy Polling[28] December 3–4, 2013 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 43% 4 928 ±3.2%
Hillary Clinton 39% Chris Christie 46% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 47% 2
Quinnipiac University[29] November 15–18, 2013 Hillary Clinton 38% Chris Christie 46% 8 1,206 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 44% Tied
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Paul Ryan 45% 2
Quinnipiac University[30] August 15–21, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 43% 1 1,184 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Joe Biden 33% Chris Christie 50% 17
Joe Biden 39% Ted Cruz 45% 6
Quinnipiac University[31] June 5–10, 2013 Hillary Clinton 41% Chris Christie 44% 3 1,065 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 46% 1
Joe Biden 32% Chris Christie 48% 16
Joe Biden 35% Marco Rubio 48% 13
Public Policy Polling[32] April 11–14, 2013 Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 45% 3 500 ±4.4%
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 44% 4
John Hickenlooper 47% Rand Paul 45% 2
John Hickenlooper 47% Marco Rubio 45% 2

ConnecticutConnecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[33] October 7–11, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 42% 2 1,735 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Carly Fiorina 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% 7
Joe Biden 51% Ben Carson 39% 12
Joe Biden 53% Carly Fiorina 36% 17
Joe Biden 55% Donald Trump 37% 18
Bernie Sanders 44% Ben Carson 41% 3
Bernie Sanders 44% Carly Fiorina 39% 5
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 40% 9
Quinnipiac University[34] March 6–9, 2015 Hillary Clinton 52% Jeb Bush 34% 18 1,235 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 52% Chris Christie 34% 18
Hillary Clinton 55% Ted Cruz 30% 25
Hillary Clinton 56% Mike Huckabee 31% 25
Hillary Clinton 54% Rand Paul 32% 22
Hillary Clinton 53% Marco Rubio 34% 19
Hillary Clinton 53% Scott Walker 33% 20
Public Policy Polling[35] October 2–5, 2014 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 37% 13 861 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 32% 22
Hillary Clinton 53% Mike Huckabee 34% 19
Hillary Clinton 54% Rand Paul 35% 19
Gravis Marketing[36] August 4–7, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 36% 9 440 ± 5%
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 33% 15

FloridaFlorida

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[37] September 25 – October 5, 2015 Joe Biden 46% Jeb Bush 42% 4 1173 2.9%
Joe Biden 45% Ben Carson 42% 3
Joe Biden 49% Carly Fiorna 38% 11
Joe Biden 46% Marco Rubio 43% 3
Joe Biden 52% Donald Trump 38% 14
Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Carly Fiorna 42% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5
Bernie Sanders 41% Jeb Bush 45% 4
Bernie Sanders 40% Ben Carson 46% 6
Bernie Sanders 41% Carly Fiorna 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 41% Marco Rubio 46% 5
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 41% 5
Public Policy Polling[38] September 11–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 45% 3 814 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 40% Ben Carson 49% 9
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 41% Carly Fiorina 46% 5
Hillary Clinton 45% Mike Huckabee 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 48% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 48% 6
Hillary Clinton 43% Scott Walker 45% 2
Bernie Sanders 41% Jeb Bush 45% 4
Bernie Sanders 33% Ben Carson 48% 15
Bernie Sanders 37% Carly Fiorina 44% 7
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 47% 6
Bernie Sanders 40% Scott Walker 42% 2
Joe Biden 42% Jeb Bush 45% 3
Joe Biden 43% Donald Trump 47% 4
Quinnipiac University[39] August 7–18, 2015 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 43% 2 1,093 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 38% Jeb Bush 49% 11
Hillary Clinton 39% Marco Rubio 51% 12
Joe Biden 45% Donald Trump 42% 3
Joe Biden 38% Jeb Bush 51% 13
Joe Biden 42% Marco Rubio 48% 6
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 45% 4
Bernie Sanders 35% Jeb Bush 54% 19
Bernie Sanders 36% Marco Rubio 52% 16
Quinnipiac University[40] June 4–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 42% 4 1,147 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 35% 11
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 37% 11
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 38% 11
Hillary Clinton 48% John Kasich 35% 13
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 38% 10
Mason-Dixon[41] April 14–16, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 47% 4 625 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 49% 6
Quinnipiac University[42] March 17–28, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 45% 3 1,087 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 39% 9
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 40% 6
Public Policy Polling[43] March 19–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 44% 3 923 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 49% Ben Carson 41% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 42% 7
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 44% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 50% Rick Perry 42% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 46% 2
Hillary Clinton 49% Scott Walker 41% 8
Joe Biden 43% Scott Walker 43% Tied
Elizabeth Warren 42% Scott Walker 41% 1
Quinnipiac University[44] January 22 – February 1, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 43% 1 936 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 51% Chris Christie 33% 18
Hillary Clinton 51% Mike Huckabee 34% 17
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 39% 10
Gravis Marketing[45] October 22–24, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 46% 1 861 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 39% 7
Gravis Marketing[46] October 11–12, 2014 Hillary Clinton 37% Jeb Bush 36% 1 1,023 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 35% 8
Public Policy Polling[47] September 4–7, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 44% 2 818 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 38% 8
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 36% 15
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 42% 7
Gravis Marketing[48] August 14–24, 2014 Hillary Clinton 39% Jeb Bush 37% 2 859 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 35% 9
SurveyUSA[49] August 15–18, 2014 Hillary Clinton 48% Mitt Romney 41% 7 852 ± 3.4%
Joe Biden 39% Mitt Romney 47% 8
SurveyUSA[50] July 31 – August 1, 2014 Hillary Clinton 50% Rick Perry 40% 10 859 ± 3.4%
Joe Biden 43% Rick Perry 44% 1
Quinnipiac University[51] July 17–21, 2014 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 42% 7 1,251 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 54% Chris Christie 33% 21
Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 37% 16
Hillary Clinton 53% Marco Rubio 39% 14
Hillary Clinton 51% Paul Ryan 38% 13
SurveyUSA[52] July 17–21, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 41% 6 836 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 38% 11
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 53% Marco Rubio 39% 14
Joe Biden 38% Jeb Bush 47% 9
Joe Biden 39% Chris Christie 48% 9
Joe Biden 39% Rand Paul 47% 8
Joe Biden 43% Marco Rubio 46% 3
SurveyUSA[53] June 30 – July 2, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4 849 ± 3.4%
Joe Biden 39% Rand Paul 47% 8
SurveyUSA[54] June 20–23, 2014 Hillary Clinton 53% Marco Rubio 39% 14 834 ± 3.5%
Joe Biden 43% Marco Rubio 46% 3
SurveyUSA[55] June 5–10, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 41% 6 850 ± 3.4%
Joe Biden 38% Jeb Bush 47% 9
Public Policy Polling[56] June 6–9, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 45% 1 672 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 38% 8
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 39% 11
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 44% 4
Saint Leo University[57] May 28 – June 4, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 46% 2 500 ± 5%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 36% 16
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 41% 8
Quinnipiac University[58] April 23–28, 2014 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 41% 8 1,413 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 52% Chris Christie 34% 18
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 31% 26
Hillary Clinton 53% Mike Huckabee 35% 18
Hillary Clinton 55% Rand Paul 37% 18
Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 40% 12
Hillary Clinton 56% Paul Ryan 36% 20
Quinnipiac University[59] January 22–27, 2014 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 43% 6 1,565 ± 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 51% Chris Christie 35% 16
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 34% 20
Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 38% 15
Hillary Clinton 51% Marco Rubio 41% 10
Hillary Clinton 52% Paul Ryan 39% 13
Quinnipiac University[60] November 12–17, 2013 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 45% 2 1,646 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 41% 4
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 36% 16
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 41% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 43% 7
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 42% 8
Gravis Marketing[61] November 8–10, 2013 Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 45% 4 932 ± 3%
Quinnipiac University[62] June 11–16, 2013 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 43% 7 1,176 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 53% Marco Rubio 41% 12
Joe Biden 43% Jeb Bush 47% 4
Joe Biden 43% Marco Rubio 45% 2
Public Policy Polling[63] March 15–18, 2013 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 40% 13 500 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 56% Marco Rubio 40% 16
Hillary Clinton 54% Paul Ryan 41% 13
Quinnipiac University[64] March 13–18, 2013 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 40% 11 1,000 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 41% 11
Public Policy Polling[65] January 11–13, 2013 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 44% 5 501 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 46% 4

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[38] September 11–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 39% Jeb Bush 29% Donald Trump 27% 10 814 3.4%
Quinnipiac University[39] August 7–18, 2015 Hillary Clinton 37% Jeb Bush 36% Donald Trump 19% 1 1093 3%

Georgia (U.S. state)Georgia

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[66] October 2–5, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 45% 1 895 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 48% Herman Cain 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 49% Newt Gingrich 43% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 44% 3
Public Policy Polling[67] August 2–5, 2013 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 45% Tied 520 ± 4.3%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Newt Gingrich 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 51% Sarah Palin 38% 13
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 43% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Paul Ryan 44% 3
Public Policy Polling[68] February 15–18, 2013 Hillary Clinton 51% Newt Gingrich 44% 7 602 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 45% 5

IdahoIdaho

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[69] October 9–12, 2014 Hillary Clinton 33% Jeb Bush 50% 17 522 ± 4.3%
Hillary Clinton 33% Chris Christie 44% 11
Hillary Clinton 34% Ted Cruz 50% 16
Hillary Clinton 34% Mike Huckabee 52% 18
Hillary Clinton 33% Rand Paul 52% 19

IllinoisIllinois

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[70] July 20–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 39% 9 931 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 49% Ben Carson 37% 12
Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 35% 14
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 35% 16
Hillary Clinton 49% Carly Fiorina 34% 15
Hillary Clinton 51% Mike Huckabee 35% 16
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 37% 10
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 37% 12
Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 33% 18
Hillary Clinton 50% Scott Walker 39% 11
Bernie Sanders 42% Jeb Bush 37% 5
Bernie Sanders 40% Marco Rubio 34% 6
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 32% 16
Bernie Sanders 40% Scott Walker 36% 4

IowaIowa

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Poling[71] December 10–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5 1,426 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 45% Tied
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Carly Fiorina 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 48% 7
Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% 2
Bernie Sanders 44% Jeb Bush 40% 4
Bernie Sanders 43% Ben Carson 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 45% Carly Fiorina 39% 6
Bernie Sanders 42% Marco Rubio 44% 2
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 43% 3
Public Policy Poling[72] October 30 – November 1, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 40% 5 1,668 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ben Carson 47% 4
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Carly Fiorina 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% John Kasich 36% 7
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied
Bernie Sanders 41% Jeb Bush 41% Tied
Bernie Sanders 37% Ben Carson 47% 10
Bernie Sanders 42% Ted Cruz 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 38% Marco Rubio 45% 7
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 44% 1
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[73] September 23–30, 2015 Hillary Clinton 40% Jeb Bush 50% 10 1,061 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 48% 7
Hillary Clinton 38% Carly Fiorina 52% 14
Bernie Sanders 44% Jeb Bush 46% 2
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 43% 5
Bernie Sanders 42% Carly Fiorina 45% 3
Public Policy Poling[74] September 18–20, 2015 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 42% 1 1,374
Hillary Clinton 37% Ben Carson 52% 15
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 43% Tied
Hillary Clinton 39% Carly Fiorina 47% 8
Hillary Clinton 43% Mike Huckabee 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 39% 2
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Scott Walker 44% 1
Joe Biden 44% Jeb Bush 40% 4
Joe Biden 38% Ben Carson 47% 9
Joe Biden 46% Donald Trump 44% 2
Bernie Sanders 42% Jeb Bush 40% 2
Bernie Sanders 34% Ben Carson 48% 14
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied
NBC News/Marist[75] August 26 – September 2, 2015 Hillary Clinton 39% Jeb Bush 50% 11 998 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 48% 5
Joe Biden 44% Jeb Bush 46% 2
Joe Biden 49% Donald Trump 45% 4
Public Policy Poling[76] August 7–9, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 40% 4 1,500 ± 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 40% Ben Carson 44% 4
Hillary Clinton 41% Chris Christie 39% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 42% 2
Hillary Clinton 42% Carly Fiorina 40% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Mike Huckabee 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 39% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 40% 3
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 40% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Scott Walker 44% 1
Bernie Sanders 41% Jeb Bush 40% 1
Bernie Sanders 38% Marco Rubio 39% 1
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 40% 4
Bernie Sanders 40% Scott Walker 40% Tied
Quinnipiac University[20] July 9–20, 2015 Hillary Clinton 36% Jeb Bush 42% 6 1,236 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 37% Scott Walker 45% 8
Hillary Clinton 36% Marco Rubio 44% 8
Joe Biden 37% Jeb Bush 44% 7
Joe Biden 36% Scott Walker 47% 11
Joe Biden 37% Marco Rubio 45% 8
Bernie Sanders 38% Jeb Bush 42% 4
Bernie Sanders 36% Scott Walker 44% 8
Bernie Sanders 36% Marco Rubio 43% 7
Public Policy Polling[77] April 23–26, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 42% 3 1,219 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ben Carson 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 42% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 48% Rick Perry 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 41% 7
Lincoln Chafee 29% Scott Walker 39% 10
Martin O'Malley 32% Scott Walker 38% 6
Bernie Sanders 34% Scott Walker 39% 5
Jim Webb 32% Scott Walker 39% 7
Gravis Marketing[78] April 13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 40% 3 1,259 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 37% 8
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 39% 3
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 44% Carly Fiorina 37% 7
Hillary Clinton 44% Mike Huckabee 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 40% Condoleezza Rice 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 41% 5
Quinnipiac University[21] March 29 – April 7, 2015 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 40% 1 948 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 41% Chris Christie 39% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 40% 3
Hillary Clinton 42% Mike Huckabee 42% Tied
Hillary Clinton 42% Rand Paul 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 40% 3
Hillary Clinton 44% Scott Walker 40% 4
Quinnipiac University[22] February 5–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 35% 10 1,089 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 34% 10
Hillary Clinton 45% Mike Huckabee 38% 7
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 37% 8
Hillary Clinton 45% Scott Walker 35% 10
Gravis Marketing[79] February 12–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 37% 6 343 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 35% 10
Hillary Clinton 45% Mike Huckabee 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Scott Walker 41% 6
NBC News/Marist[80] February 3–10, 2015 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 40% 8 891 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 49% Scott Walker 38% 11
Ipsos/Reuters[81] October 23–29, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 36% 8 1,129 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 40% Chris Christie 37% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 36% 7
Hillary Clinton 42% Paul Ryan 41% 1
Joe Biden 33% Jeb Bush 40% 7
Joe Biden 30% Chris Christie 41% 11
Joe Biden 33% Rand Paul 39% 6
Joe Biden 32% Paul Ryan 45% 13
Andrew Cuomo 30% Jeb Bush 36% 6
Andrew Cuomo 24% Chris Christie 39% 15
Andrew Cuomo 30% Rand Paul 37% 7
Andrew Cuomo 27% Paul Ryan 41% 14
Gravis Marketing[82] October 20–21, 2014 Hillary Clinton 42.6% Jeb Bush 43.5% 0.9 964 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Paul Ryan 44% 1
Gravis Marketing[83] September 29–30, 2014 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 41% Tied 522 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 44% Paul Ryan 44% Tied
Public Policy Polling[84] September 25–28, 2014 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 43% Tied 1,192 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 41% 4
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 39% 8
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 42% 5
NBC News/Marist[85] July 7–13, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 42% 4 753 ± 3.6%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 37% 12 832 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 45% Tied 753 ± 3.6%
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 40% 9 832 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 50% Scott Walker 37% 13
Quinnipiac University[86] June 12–16, 2014 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 36% 13 1,277 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 36% 8
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 40% 6
Hillary Clinton 47% Paul Ryan 41% 6
Loras College[87] June 4–5, 2014 Hillary Clinton 48.7% Jeb Bush 38.2% 5 600 ± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton 47.5% Chris Christie 39% 8.5
Hillary Clinton 49.7% Mike Huckabee 39.8% 9.9
Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 37.5% 14.5
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 38.7% 11.3
Public Policy Polling[88] May 15–19, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 39% 5 914 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 39% 6
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
The Polling Company[89] April 13–14, 2014 Hillary Clinton 43.8% Jeb Bush 39% 4.8 600 ± 4.1%
Hillary Clinton 41.8% Chris Christie 38.9% 2.9
Hillary Clinton 43.8% Mike Huckabee 44.1% 0.3
Hillary Clinton 44.3% Bobby Jindal 39.6% 4.7
Hillary Clinton 43.3% Rand Paul 44.3% 1
Hillary Clinton 43.8% Mike Pence 32% 11.8
Hillary Clinton 43.4% Marco Rubio 42.3% 1.1
Hillary Clinton 45.9% Scott Walker 40.4% 5.5
Quinnipiac University[90] March 5–10, 2014 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 37% 14 1,411 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 35% 13
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 35% 16
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 39% 10
Public Policy Polling[91] February 20–23, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 41% 4 869 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 39% 6
Quinnipiac University[92] December 10–15, 2013 Hillary Clinton 40% Chris Christie 45% 5 1,617 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 41% 4
Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 41% 7
Harper Polling[93] November 23–24, 2013 Hillary Clinton 38.12% Chris Christie 43.35% 5.23 985 ± 3.12%
Hillary Clinton 46.40% Paul Ryan 42.57% 3.83
Hillary Clinton 45.21% Marco Rubio 40.79% 4.42
Hillary Clinton 46.82% Rand Paul 41.06% 5.76
Hillary Clinton 47.37% Ted Cruz 40.45% 6.92
Quinnipiac University[94] July 15–17, 2013 Hillary Clinton 41% Chris Christie 41% Tied 1,256 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 39% 7
Joe Biden 32% Chris Christie 49% 17
Joe Biden 39% Scott Walker 42% 3
Public Policy Polling[95] July 5–7, 2013 Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 36% 7 668 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 49% Paul Ryan 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 37% 11
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 35% 12
Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 36% 14
Quinnipiac University[96] May 15–21, 2013 Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4 1,411 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 37% 11
Joe Biden 39% Rand Paul 44% 5
Joe Biden 39% Marco Rubio 40% 1
Public Policy Polling[97] January 31–February 3, 2013 Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 41% 5 800 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 43% 6
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 44% 6
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 41% 8
Joe Biden 44% Chris Christie 44% Tied
Joe Biden 48% Jeb Bush 45% 3
Joe Biden 49% Paul Ryan 45% 4
Joe Biden 48% Marco Rubio 43% 5

Three-way race

Poll Source Date administered Democtrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Poling[71] December 10–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 41% Ted Cruz 33% Donald Trump 20% 8 1,426 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 39% Marco Rubio 33% Donald Trump 23% 6
Public Policy Poling[72] October 30 – November 1, 2015 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 40% Jim Webb 9% 1 1,668 ± 2.4%
Public Policy Polling[74] September 18–20, 2015 Hillary Clinton 38% Jeb Bush 26% Donald Trump 27% 11 1,374
Public Policy Polling[76] August 7–9, 2015 Hillary Clinton 39% Jeb Bush 30% Donald Trump 21% 9 1,500 2.5%

KansasKansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing[98] October 20–21, 2014 Hillary Clinton 38% Jeb Bush 49% 11 1,124 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 37% Rand Paul 50% 13
Public Policy Polling[99] October 9–12, 2014 Hillary Clinton 37% Jeb Bush 48% 11 1,081 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 38% Chris Christie 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 41% Ted Cruz 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Mike Huckabee 47% 6
Hillary Clinton 40% Rand Paul 45% 5
Gravis Marketing[100] September 30 – October 1, 2014 Hillary Clinton 38% Jeb Bush 49% 11 850 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 38% Rand Paul 48% 10
Public Policy Polling[101] September 11–14, 2014 Hillary Clinton 40% Jeb Bush 46% 6 1,328 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 40% Chris Christie 42% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 42% Mike Huckabee 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Rand Paul 43% 2
Public Policy Polling[102] August 14–17, 2014 Hillary Clinton 39% Jeb Bush 45% 6 903 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 38% Chris Christie 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 41% Mike Huckabee 46% 5
Hillary Clinton 41% Rand Paul 45% 4
Public Policy Polling[103] February 18–20, 2014 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 50% 9 693 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 39% Chris Christie 46% 7
Hillary Clinton 42% Mike Huckabee 49% 7
Hillary Clinton 41% Rand Paul 48% 7
Public Policy Polling[104] February 21–24, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 47% 5 1,229 ±2.8%
Hillary Clinton 43% Paul Ryan 50% 7

KentuckyKentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[105] June 18–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 40% Jeb Bush 48% 8 1,108 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 40% Ben Carson 49% 9
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 48% 6
Hillary Clinton 40% Carly Fiorina 45% 5
Hillary Clinton 39% Mike Huckabee 49% 10
Hillary Clinton 40% Rand Paul 50% 10
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 46% 5
Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Scott Walker 46% 5
Lincoln Chafee 23% Scott Walker 41% 18
Martin O'Malley 22% Scott Walker 40% 18
Bernie Sanders 29% Scott Walker 42% 13
Jim Webb 22% Scott Walker 42% 20
Gravis Marketing[106] October 11–12, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 48% 3 1,020 ± 3%
Elizabeth Warren 36% Rand Paul 49% 13
Public Policy Polling[107] August 7–10, 2014 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 48% 5 991 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 44% Mike Huckabee 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 49% 6
Gravis Marketing[108] July 17–20, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 50% 6 1,054 ± 3%
Elizabeth Warren 34% Rand Paul 52% 18
SurveyUSA[109] May 14–16, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 48% 4 1,782 ± 2.4%
Public Policy Polling[110] December 12–15, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 46% 4 1,509 ± 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 40% Chris Christie 44% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 49% 6
Public Policy Polling[111] April 5–7, 2013 Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 45% Tied 1,052 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 40% 6

LouisianaLouisiana

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
WWL-TV/Clarus[112] September 20–23, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Bobby Jindal 42% 3 800 ± 3.46%
Hillary Clinton 38% Jeb Bush 56% 18
Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 47% 8
Public Policy Polling[113] September 25–28, 2014 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 49% 8 1,141 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 42% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Mike Huckabee 50% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Bobby Jindal 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 47% 4
Gravis Marketing[114] September 5–9, 2014 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 48% 5 426 ± 5%
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 45% 1
Public Policy Polling[115] June 26–29, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 46% 1 664 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Mike Huckabee 46% 1
Hillary Clinton 48% Bobby Jindal 44% 4
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 46% Tied
Magellan Strategies[116] March 24–26, 2014 Hillary Clinton 40.4% Bobby Jindal 45% 4.6 600 ± 4.1%
Public Policy Polling[117] February 6–9, 2014 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 50% 7 635 ± 3.9%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Mike Huckabee 49% 5
Hillary Clinton 45% Bobby Jindal 47% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 47% 4
Public Policy Polling[118] August 16–19, 2013 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 44% Tied 721 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 41% 1
Hillary Clinton 47% Bobby Jindal 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Paul Ryan 46% 2
Harper Polling[119] August 14–15, 2013 Hillary Clinton 44% Bobby Jindal 42% 2 596 ± 4.01%
Public Policy Polling[120] February 8–12, 2013 Hillary Clinton 48% Bobby Jindal 45% 3 603 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Paul Ryan 46% Tied

MaineMaine

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[121] November 8–11, 2013 Hillary Clinton 55% Jeb Bush 32% 23 964 ±3.2%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 39% 8
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 30% 27
Hillary Clinton 57% Rand Paul 32% 25

MarylandMaryland

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing[122] October 6–9, 2014 Hillary Clinton 52% Jeb Bush 35% 17 784 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 34% 17
Hillary Clinton 51% Paul Ryan 36% 15

MassachusettsMassachusetts

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Western New England University[123] October 1–8, 2015 Hillary Clinton 64% Donald Trump 27% 37 425 ± 5%
Hillary Clinton 58% Jeb Bush 31% 27
Hillary Clinton 61% Carly Fiorina 29% 32
Bernie Sanders 63% Donald Trump 28% 35
Bernie Sanders 57% Jeb Bush 30% 27
Hillary Clinton 59% Carly Fiorina 29% 30
Emerson College[124] March 14–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 59% Jeb Bush 38% 21 797 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 60% Rand Paul 36% 24
Hillary Clinton 58% Scott Walker 38% 20

MichiganMichigan

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research[125] September 27, 2015 Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 43% 3% 1,483 ± 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 42% Tied
Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 37% 5
FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research[126] August 10, 2015 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 40% 1% 1,310 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 40% Jeb Bush 41% 1%
Hillary Clinton 36% Marco Rubio 45% 9%
Public Policy Polling[127] June 25–28, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 38% 9 1,072 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 49% Ben Carson 41% 8
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 38% 6
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 46% Carly Fiorina 38% 8
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 40% 6
Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 42% 4
Lincoln Chafee 31% Scott Walker 36% 5
Martin O'Malley 32% Scott Walker 37% 5
Bernie Sanders 35% Scott Walker 39% 4
Jim Webb 31% Scott Walker 38% 7
Public Policy Polling[128] September 4–7, 2014 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 38% 11 687 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 36% 12
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 37% 14
Hillary Clinton 50% Mike Huckabee 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 39% 10
Public Policy Polling[129] June 26–29, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 37% 10 578 ± 4.1%
Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 35% 13
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 34% 16
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 36% 12
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 37% 10
Public Policy Polling[130] April 3–6, 2014 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 38% 11 825 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 37% 9
Hillary Clinton 50% Mike Huckabee 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 39% 9
Marketing Resource Group[131] March 24–28, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 38% 6 600 ± 4.1%
EPIC-MRA[132] February 5–11, 2014 Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 39% 4 600 ± 4%
Harper Polling[133] January 7–8, 2014 Hillary Clinton 40% Chris Christie 38% 2 1,004 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 36% 10
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 44% Paul Ryan 41% 3
Public Policy Polling[134] December 5–8, 2013 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 42% 4 1,034 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 40% 3
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 38% 11
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 39% 9
Public Policy Polling[135] May 30 – June 2, 2013 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 37% 14 697 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 38% 6
Hillary Clinton 55% Rand Paul 35% 20
Hillary Clinton 53% Marco Rubio 36% 17
Public Policy Polling[136] March 2–4, 2013 Hillary Clinton 51% Marco Rubio 37% 14 702 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 52% Paul Ryan 41% 11

MinnesotaMinnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Survey USA October 29 – November 2, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 45% 3 516 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 41% Ben Carson 50% 9
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 47% 6
Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 41% Carly Fiorina 45% 4
Public Policy Polling[137] July 30 – August 2, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 42% 2 1015 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 38% 5
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 44% Carly Fiorina 33% 11
Hillary Clinton 44% Mike Huckabee 42% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 42% 1
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 40% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 42% 4
Bernie Sanders 40% Jeb Bush 41% 1
Bernie Sanders 39% Marco Rubio 37% 2
Bernie Sanders 45% Donald Trump 37% 8
Bernie Sanders 41% Scott Walker 40% 1
Public Policy Polling[138] June 12–15, 2014 Hillary Clinton 52% Michele Bachmann 35% 17 633 ± 3.9%
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 37% 10
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 35% 16
Hillary Clinton 50% Mike Huckabee 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 38% 11
Hillary Clinton 48% Tim Pawlenty 42% 6
Public Policy Polling January 18–20, 2013 Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 38% 6 1,065 ± 3%
Amy Klobuchar 42% Chris Christie 39% 3
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 37% 13
Amy Klobuchar 48% Marco Rubio 36% 12

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[139] July 30 – August 2,

2015

 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 26% Donald Trump 25% 15 1015 3.1%

MississippiMississippi

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[140] July 10–13, 2014 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 47% 5 691 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 44% Tied
Hillary Clinton 42% Mike Huckabee 49% 7
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 45% 2
Public Policy Polling November 15–17, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 50% 8 502 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 40% Chris Christie 49% 9
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 47% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 46% 2

MissouriMissouri

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49.4%–49.2%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling [141] August 7–9, 2015 Hillary Clinton 40% Jeb Bush 47% 7 859 3.3
Hillary Clinton 38% Ben Carson 52% 14
Hillary Clinton 37% Chris Christie 46% 9
Hillary Clinton 38% Ted Cruz 50% 12
Hillary Clinton 37% Carly Fiorina 47% 10
Hillary Clinton 38% Mike Huckabee 51% 13
Hillary Clinton 36% John Kasich 49% 13
Hillary Clinton 37% Rand Paul 49% 12
Hillary Clinton 36% Marco Rubio 51% 15
Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 48% 9
Hillary Clinton 37% Scott Walker 50% 13
Bernie Sanders 34% Jeb Bush 47% 13
Bernie Sanders 33% Marco Rubio 48% 15
Bernie Sanders 39% Donald Trump 48% 9

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling [141] August 7–9, 2015 Hillary Clinton 34% Jeb Bush 29% Donald Trump 30% 4 859 3.3

MontanaMontana

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
MSU-Billings November 16–23, 2015 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 51.4% 21.4 435 ± 4.8%
Hillary Clinton 28.8% Ben Carson 60.5% 31.7
Hillary Clinton 28.8% Marco Rubio 57.2% 28.4
Hillary Clinton 30.6% Ted Cruz 55.9% 25.3
Bernie Sanders 40.1% Donald Trump 46.2% 6.1
Bernie Sanders 30.8% Ben Carson 53.7% 22.9
Bernie Sanders 33.3% Marco Rubio 47.9% 14.6
Bernie Sanders 35.8% Ted Cruz 46% 10.2
Gravis Marketing[142] February 24–25, 2015 Hillary Clinton 35.4% Jeb Bush 48.5% 13.1 1,035 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 33.3% Chris Christie 49.5% 16.2
Hillary Clinton 33% Mike Huckabee 50% 17
Hillary Clinton 38% Rand Paul 48% 10
Hillary Clinton 37% Scott Walker 49% 12
Gravis Marketing November 24–25, 2014 Hillary Clinton 38% Jeb Bush 50% 12 836 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 39% Ted Cruz 52% 13
Hillary Clinton 37% Nikki Haley 45% 8
Hillary Clinton 37% Rand Paul 55% 18
Hillary Clinton 38% Paul Ryan 54% 16
Gravis Marketing October 23–24, 2014 Hillary Clinton 38% Jeb Bush 43% 5 604 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 39% Rand Paul 48% 9
Hillary Clinton 39% Paul Ryan 46% 7
Gravis Marketing September 29–30, 2014 Hillary Clinton 36% Jeb Bush 45% 9 535 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 38% Rand Paul 46% 8
Hillary Clinton 37% Paul Ryan 51% 14
Gravis Marketing July 20–22, 2014 Hillary Clinton 39% Jeb Bush 49% 10 741 ± 4%
Public Policy Polling November 15–17, 2013 Hillary Clinton 38% Jeb Bush 49% 11 952 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 34% Chris Christie 51% 17
Hillary Clinton 39% Ted Cruz 50% 11
Hillary Clinton 39% Rand Paul 52% 13
Brian Schweitzer 41% Jeb Bush 46% 5
Brian Schweitzer 39% Chris Christie 47% 8
Brian Schweitzer 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3
Brian Schweitzer 42% Rand Paul 50% 8
Public Policy Polling June 21–23, 2013 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 45% Tied 807 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 40% Chris Christie 45% 5
Brian Schweitzer 48% Jeb Bush 41% 7
Brian Schweitzer 42% Chris Christie 41% 1
Public Policy Polling February 15–17, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 50% 8 1,011 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 44% Paul Ryan 51% 7
Brian Schweitzer 46% Marco Rubio 46% Tied
Brian Schweitzer 45% Paul Ryan 49% 4

NevadaNevada

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Morning Consult[143] November 10–16, 2015 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 44% 3 628 RV ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 38% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 42% Tie
Public Policy Polling July 13–14, 2015 Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 43% 5 677 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 37% 12
Gravis Marketing[144] March 27, 2015 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 38% 10 850 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 38% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 42% 8
Hillary Clinton 49% Scott Walker 41% 8
Gravis Marketing February 21–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 37% 13 955 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 38% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 42% 7
Hillary Clinton 43% Brian Sandoval 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 49% Scott Walker 43% 6
Harper Polling July 26–29, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5 602 ± 3.99%
Hillary Clinton 48% Susana Martínez 35% 13
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 44% 3

New HampshireNew Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling November 30 – December 2, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 41% 2 990 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 39% 8
Hillary Clinton 45% Carly Fiorina 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% 6
Bernie Sanders 47% Jeb Bush 38% 9
Bernie Sanders 46% Ben Carson 41% 5
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 38% 10
Bernie Sanders 48% Carly Fiorina 40% 8
Bernie Sanders 45% Marco Rubio 41% 4
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 40% 9
Fox News Poll November 15–17, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% 7 804 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Carly Fiorina 43% Tied
Hillary Clinton 43% Ben Carson 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 40% John Kasich 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 47% 7
Public Policy Polling October 16–18, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 41% 4 880 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ben Carson 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 38% 13
Hillary Clinton 46% Carly Fiorina 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 51% Mike Huckabee 35% 16
Hillary Clinton 44% John Kasich 44% Tied
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% 6
Joe Biden 48% Ben Carson 39% 9
Joe Biden 47% Marco Rubio 40% 7
Joe Biden 51% Donald Trump 40% 11
Bernie Sanders 47% Ben Carson 39% 8
Bernie Sanders 45% Marco Rubio 41% 4
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 40% 9
NBC News/Marist September 23–30, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 49% 7 1,044 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 42% Carly Fiorina 50% 8
Bernie Sanders 46% Jeb Bush 46% Tied
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 42% 10
Bernie Sanders 47% Carly Fiorina 45% 2
CNN/WMUR[145] September 17–23, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 42% 8 820 ± 3.6%
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 37% 20
Joe Biden 56% Donald Trump 37% 19
NBC News/Marist August 26 – September 2, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 48% 5 966 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 45% 1
Joe Biden 45% Jeb Bush 46% 1
Joe Biden 50% Donald Trump 41% 9
Public Policy Polling[146] August 21–24, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 39% 7 841 ± 3.4%
Bernie Sanders 46% Jeb Bush 38% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Ben Carson 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 38% 8
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 38% 11
Hillary Clinton 45% Carly Fiorina 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 36% 13
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 37% 10
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 39% 8
Bernie Sanders 48% Marco Rubio 35% 13
Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 44% 2
Bernie Sanders 50% Donald Trump 41% 9
Hillary Clinton 47% Scott Walker 39% 8
Bernie Sanders 47% Scott Walker 39% 8
UNH/WMUR[147] July 22–30, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 46% 1 722 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Scott Walker 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 40% 10
Purple Insights[148] May 2–6, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 42% 2 952 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 42% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 40% 6
WMUR/UNH April 24 – May 1, 2015 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 47% 6 627 ± 3.9%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 47% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 47% 5
Hillary Clinton 44% Scott Walker 44% Tied
Dartmouth College April 27–30, 2015 Hillary Clinton 34.1% Jeb Bush 36.9% 2.8 355 ± 5.2%
Hillary Clinton 36.5% Chris Christie 34.4% 2.1
Hillary Clinton 36.9% Ted Cruz 28.7% 8.2
Hillary Clinton 38.1% Mike Huckabee 31.1% 7
Hillary Clinton 36.1% Rand Paul 33.3% 2.8
Hillary Clinton 34.5% Marco Rubio 34.4% 0.1
Hillary Clinton 34.8% Scott Walker 38.7% 3.9
Gravis Marketing April 21–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 42% Tied 1,117 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 41% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Scott Walker 47% 3
Public Policy Polling April 9–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 36% 13 747 ± 3.6%
Hillary Clinton 51% Ben Carson 38% 13
Hillary Clinton 51% Chris Christie 36% 15
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 37% 15
Hillary Clinton 51% Mike Huckabee 38% 13
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 51% Rick Perry 38% 13
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 49% Scott Walker 40% 9
Joe Biden 44% Scott Walker 40% 4
Elizabeth Warren 45% Scott Walker 40% 5
Gravis Marketing March 18–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 40% 3 ? ± ?
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 43% 3
NBC News/Marist February 3–10, 2015 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 42% 6 887 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 49% Scott Walker 42% 7
Purple Insights January 31 – February 5, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 36% 14 503 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 50% Scott Walker 37% 13
UNH/WMUR January 22 – February 3, 2015 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 39% 12 776 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 40% 10
Purple Insights November 12–18, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 39% 8 500 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Mitt Romney 45% 1
NBC News/Marist[85] July 7–13, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 42% 5 1,342 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 38% 13
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 39% 9
Rockefeller Center April 21–25, 2014 Hillary Clinton 42.1% Jeb Bush 32.2% 9.9 412 ± 4.8%
Hillary Clinton 36.5% Chris Christie 34.4% 2.1
Hillary Clinton 38.3% Mike Huckabee 36.2% 2.1
Hillary Clinton 35.8% Rand Paul 38.4% 2.6
Purple Strategies January 21–23, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 42% 4 1,052 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 44% 2
Elizabeth Warren 35% Jeb Bush 46% 11
Elizabeth Warren 33% Chris Christie 45% 12
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 38% 11 1,354 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 39% 4
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 32% 19
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 37% 13
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 Hillary Clinton 50% Kelly Ayotte 42% 8 1,038 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 39% 4
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 41% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 41% 9
Rockefeller Center April 22–25, 2013 Hillary Clinton 37.1% Chris Christie 32.3% 4.8 433 ± 4.7%
Hillary Clinton 44.3% Marco Rubio 33.2% 11.1
Public Policy Polling April 19–21, 2013 Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 41% 11 933 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 38% 14

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling [146] August 21–24, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 22% Donald Trump 28% 15 957 3.2%

New JerseyNew Jersey

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[149] April 9–14, 2015 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 33% 20 1,428 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 51% Chris Christie 36% 15
Hillary Clinton 58% Ted Cruz 30% 28
Hillary Clinton 56% Mike Huckabee 30% 26
Hillary Clinton 54% Rand Paul 34% 20
Hillary Clinton 54% Marco Rubio 34% 20
Hillary Clinton 54% Scott Walker 32% 22
Rutgers-Eagleton February 3–10, 2015 Hillary Clinton 58% Jeb Bush 32% 26 694 ± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 58% Chris Christie 35% 23
Hillary Clinton 60% Scott Walker 29% 31
Quinnipiac University January 15–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 37% 16 1,211 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 52% Chris Christie 39% 13
Hillary Clinton 56% Mike Huckabee 33% 23
Hillary Clinton 54% Rand Paul 35% 19
Hillary Clinton 53% Mitt Romney 38% 15
Rutgers-Eagleton December 3–10, 2014 Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 39% 10 646 ± 3.9%
Quinnipiac University December 3–8, 2014 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 31% 22 1,340 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 39% 11
Hillary Clinton 55% Rand Paul 31% 24
Hillary Clinton 52% Mitt Romney 35% 17
Quinnipiac University September 25–29, 2014 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 32% 21 1,475 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 55% Rand Paul 31% 24
Fairleigh Dickinson University September 1–7, 2014 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 32% 19 721 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 33% 15
Rutgers-Eagleton July 28 – August 5, 2014 Hillary Clinton 51% Chris Christie 40% 11 750 ± 4%
Quinnipiac July 31 – August 1, 2014 Hillary Clinton 54% Jeb Bush 34% 20 1,148 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 42% 8
Hillary Clinton 57% Mike Huckabee 34% 23
Hillary Clinton 55% Rand Paul 35% 20
Rutgers February 22–28, 2014 Hillary Clinton 51% Chris Christie 41% 10 842 ± 3.6%
Hillary Clinton 58% Rand Paul 29% 29
Hillary Clinton 58% Paul Ryan 33% 25
Rutgers January 22, 2014 Hillary Clinton 55% Chris Christie 34% 21 ? ± ?
Monmouth University December 4–8, 2013 Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 46% 3 698/802 ± 3.5%
Andrew Cuomo 33% Chris Christie 52% 19
NBC News/exit poll November 6, 2013 Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 44% 4 ? ± ?
Quinnipiac September 23–29, 2013 Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 36% 13 1,497 ± 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 36% 17
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 31% 23
Pulse Opinion Research September 19, 2013 Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 43% 5 1,000 ± ?
NBC News/Marist April 28 – May 2, 2013 Hillary Clinton 52% Chris Christie 41% 11 1,095 ± 3%
Joe Biden 40% Chris Christie 51% 11
Quinnipiac February 13–17, 2013 Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 45% 4 1,149 ± 2.9%
Andrew Cuomo 36% Chris Christie 54% 18
Public Policy Polling November 26–28, 2012 Hillary Clinton 52% Chris Christie 40% 12 600 ± 4%
Joe Biden 41% Chris Christie 47% 6
Andrew Cuomo 35% Chris Christie 50% 15

New MexicoNew Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing[150] September 27 – October 1, 2014 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 36% 14 727 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 36% 13
Public Policy Polling March 20–23, 2014 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 37% 16 674 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 53% Chris Christie 35% 18
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 37% 17
Hillary Clinton 55% Mike Huckabee 34% 21
Hillary Clinton 53% Susana Martinez 39% 14
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 36% 15

New York (state)New York

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Siena College[151] September 14–17, 2015 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 36% 17 817 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 52% Ben Carson 40% 12
Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 36% 19
Joe Biden 59% Jeb Bush 30% 29
Joe Biden 55% Ben Carson 35% 20
Joe Biden 60% Donald Trump 33% 27
Bernie Sanders 52% Jeb Bush 33% 19
Bernie Sanders 46% Ben Carson 39% 7
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 38% 14
Siena College[152] March 11–16, 2015 Hillary Clinton 55% Jeb Bush 32% 23 785 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 54% Chris Christie 34% 20
Hillary Clinton 59% Ted Cruz 26% 33
Hillary Clinton 58% Rand Paul 29% 29
Hillary Clinton 59% Marco Rubio 30% 29
Quinnipiac University March 11–16, 2015 Hillary Clinton 58% Jeb Bush 30% 28 1,228 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 54% Chris Christie 34% 20
Hillary Clinton 60% Ted Cruz 27% 33
Hillary Clinton 58% Mike Huckabee 29% 29
Hillary Clinton 55% George Pataki 34% 21
Hillary Clinton 59% Rand Paul 31% 28
Hillary Clinton 58% Marco Rubio 31% 27
Hillary Clinton 58% Scott Walker 31% 27
Quinnipiac University August 14–17, 2014 Hillary Clinton 60% Jeb Bush 29% 31 1,034 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 54% Chris Christie 34% 20
Hillary Clinton 61% Rand Paul 30% 31
Andrew Cuomo 53% Jeb Bush 30% 23
Andrew Cuomo 47% Chris Christie 37% 10
Andrew Cuomo 55% Rand Paul 31% 24
Siena College February 22–28, 2014 Hillary Clinton 64% Chris Christie 28% 36 814 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 67% Rand Paul 24% 43
Hillary Clinton 64% Paul Ryan 27% 37
Quinnipiac University February 6–10, 2014 Hillary Clinton 58% Chris Christie 31% 27 1,488 ± 2.5%
Andrew Cuomo 50% Chris Christie 34% 16
Siena College January 12–16, 2014 Hillary Clinton 60% Chris Christie 32% 28 808 ± 3.4%
Andrew Cuomo 55% Chris Christie 35% 20
Marist November 18–20, 2013 Hillary Clinton 57% Chris Christie 39% 18 675 ± 3.8%
Andrew Cuomo 51% Chris Christie 44% 7
Siena College November 8–11, 2013 Hillary Clinton 56% Chris Christie 40% 16 806 ± 3.5%
Andrew Cuomo 42% Chris Christie 47% 5
Quinnipiac University March 11–17, 2013 Hillary Clinton 59% Chris Christie 32% 27 1,165 ± 2.9%
Andrew Cuomo 46% Chris Christie 38% 8

North CarolinaNorth Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling December 5–7, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 43% Tied 1,214 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 41% Ben Carson 47% 6
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 47% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Carly Fiorina 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 46% 4
Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 47% 4
Bernie Sanders 39% Jeb Bush 42% 3
Bernie Sanders 37% Ben Carson 46% 9
Bernie Sanders 42% Ted Cruz 44% 2
Bernie Sanders 40% Carly Fiorina 40% Tied
Bernie Sanders 39% Marco Rubio 44% 5
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 46% 2
Public Policy Polling October 23–25, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 43% 3 893 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ben Carson 49% 6
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 46% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Carly Fiorina 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Mike Huckabee 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 46% John Kasich 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 48% 6
Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 48% 6
Bernie Sanders 40% Jeb Bush 46% 6
Bernie Sanders 37% Ben Carson 48% 11
Bernie Sanders 41% Ted Cruz 45% 4
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 48% 7
Public Policy Polling [153] September 24–27, 2015 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 46% 5 1,268 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 41% Ben Carson 51% 10
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Carly Fiorina 48% 7
Hillary Clinton 41% Mike Huckabee 48% 7
Hillary Clinton 40% John Kasich 44% 4
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 50% 10
Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 47% 5
Joe Biden 47% Jeb Bush 42% 5
Joe Biden 44% Ben Carson 47% 3
Joe Biden 44% Carly Fiorina 45% 1
Joe Biden 45% Donald Trump 45% Tied
Bernie Sanders 39% Jeb Bush 45% 6
Bernie Sanders 35% Ben Carson 48% 13
Bernie Sanders 37% Carly Fiorina 46% 9
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 46% 3
Elon University September 17–23, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 46% 3 1,075 2.99%
Hillary Clinton 41% Ben Carson 52% 11
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% 7
Public Policy Polling [154] August 12–16, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 42% Tied 957 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 40% Ben Carson 47% 7
Hillary Clinton 40% Chris Christie 39% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 41% Carly Fiorina 42% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Mike Huckabee 46% 2
Hillary Clinton 40% John Kasich 41% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 40% 4
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Scott Walker 44% 3
Bernie Sanders 40% Jeb Bush 43% 3
Bernie Sanders 36% Marco Rubio 42% 6
Bernie Sanders 40% Donald Trump 43% 3
Bernie Sanders 37% Scott Walker 41% 4
Public Policy Polling[155] July 2–6, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 43% 2 529 ± 4.3%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 46% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Carly Fiorina 45% Tied
Hillary Clinton 45% Mike Huckabee 49% 4
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 46% 1
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 47% 1
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Scott Walker 47% 4
Lincoln Chafee 29% Scott Walker 43% 14
Martin O'Malley 29% Scott Walker 45% 16
Bernie Sanders 35% Scott Walker 43% 8
Jim Webb 31% Scott Walker 44% 13
Public Policy Polling[156] May 28–31, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 40% 7 561 ± 4.1%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 40% 3
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 42% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Carly Fiorina 40% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 44% Tied
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Scott Walker 45% Tied
Lincoln Chafee 29% Scott Walker 42% 13
Martin O'Malley 28% Scott Walker 44% 16
Bernie Sanders 33% Scott Walker 43% 10
Jim Webb 31% Scott Walker 42% 11
SurveyUSA April 22–27, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 43% 2 1,070 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 39% 9
Elon University April 20–24, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47.4% Jeb Bush 44% 3.4 677 ± 3.77%
Public Policy Polling April 2–5, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 44% 1 751 ± 3.6%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 41%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 45% Tied
Hillary Clinton 43% Mike Huckabee 48% 5
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 45% Tied
Hillary Clinton 44% Rick Perry 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 45% Tied
Hillary Clinton 43% Scott Walker 46% 3
Joe Biden 39% Scott Walker 48% 9
Elizabeth Warren 36% Scott Walker 46% 10
Public Policy Polling February 24–26, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 42% 4 849 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 46% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 40% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 47% Rick Perry 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 45% Scott Walker 43% 2
Joe Biden 40% Jeb Bush 47% 7
Elizabeth Warren 38% Jeb Bush 44% 8
Elon University February 16–20, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45.7% Jeb Bush 40.2% 5.5 773 ± 3.52%
Public Policy Polling January 29–31, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 44% Tied 845 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 45% Tied
Hillary Clinton 44% Mitt Romney 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 44% 2
Joe Biden 41% Mitt Romney 48% 7
Elizabeth Warren 39% Mitt Romney 47% 8
Meeting Street Research January 21–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5 500 ± 4.38%
Hillary Clinton 47% Mitt Romney 42% 5
Public Policy Polling December 4–7, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 46% Tied 823 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 44% Tied
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 42% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 44% 2
Joe Biden 42% Jeb Bush 47% 5
Joe Biden 40% Ben Carson 45% 5
Elizabeth Warren 39% Jeb Bush 46% 7
Elizabeth Warren 37% Ben Carson 44% 7
Gravis Marketing October 29–30, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 47% 2 1,006 ± 3%
Elizabeth Warren 34% Rand Paul 47% 13
Gravis Marketing October 16–18, 2014 Hillary Clinton 42% Rand Paul 48% 6 1,022 ± 3%
Elizabeth Warren 32% Rand Paul 48% 16
Gravis Marketing September 22–23, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 45% 1 860 ± 3%
Elizabeth Warren 33% Rand Paul 46% 13
Public Policy Polling September 11–14, 2014 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 45% 2 1,266 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 38% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 45% Mike Huckabee 46% 1
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 41% 5
Public Policy Polling August 14–17, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 42% 4 856 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 38% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 45% Mike Huckabee 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 42% 5
Civitas Institute July 28–29, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 48% 1 600 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 47% 1
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 47% 4
Joe Biden 44% Jeb Bush 50% 6
Joe Biden 42% Chris Christie 49% 7
Joe Biden 44% Rand Paul 49% 5
Gravis Marketing July 22–27, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 43% 2 1,380 ± 3%
Elizabeth Warren 35% Rand Paul 44% 9
Public Policy Polling June 12–15, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 44% 1 1,076 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 41% 4
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 43% 3
Public Policy Polling May 9–11, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 42% 3 877 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 40% 4
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 44% 1
Public Policy Polling April 3–6, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 44% 1 740 ± 3.6%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 43% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 43% 4
Public Policy Polling March 6–9, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 46% 1 884 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 42% 7
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 43% 6
Public Policy Polling February 6–9, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 43% 4 708 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 43% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 44% 3
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 44% 2 1,384 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 43% 4
Public Policy Polling December 5–8, 2013 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 45% 1 1,281 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 41% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 44% 4
Public Policy Polling November 8–11, 2013 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 43% 4 701 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 39% 12
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 41% 9
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013 Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 40% 12 601 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 42% 7

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling October 23–25, 2015 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 43% Jim Webb 8% 2 893 3.3%
Public Policy Polling [154] August 12–16, 2015 Hillary Clinton 38% Jeb Bush 28% Donald Trump 27% 10 957 3.2%

OhioOhio

18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[37] September 25 – October 5, 2015 Joe Biden 46% Jeb Bush 37% 9 1180 2.9%
Joe Biden 42% Ben Carson 46% 4
Joe Biden 44% Carly Fiorna 42% 2
Joe Biden 46% Marco Rubio 41% 5
Joe Biden 49% Donald Trump 38% 11
Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 40% Ben Carson 49% 9
Hillary Clinton 41% Carly Fiorna 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 40% Jeb Bush 42% 2
Bernie Sanders 36% Ben Carson 48% 12
Bernie Sanders 39% Carly Fiorna 43% 4
Bernie Sanders 40% Marco Rubio 43% 3
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 41% 3
Quinnipiac University[39] August 7–18, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% 5 1,096 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 39% 2
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 42% 2
Joe Biden 48% Donald Trump 38% 10
Joe Biden 42% Jeb Bush 39% 3
Joe Biden 42% Marco Rubio 41% 1
Bernie Sanders 42% Donald Trump 40% 2
Bernie Sanders 36% Jeb Bush 42% 6
Bernie Sanders 34% Marco Rubio 42% 8
Quinnipiac University[40] June 4–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 41% 1 1,191 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 39% 8
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 40% John Kasich 47% 7
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 43% Tied
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 44% Scott Walker 40% 4
Public Policy Polling June 4–7, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 43% 2 859 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Mike Huckabee 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 40% John Kasich 47% 7
Hillary Clinton 41% Rand Paul 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 44% Tied
Hillary Clinton 44% Scott Walker 43% 1
Michael Bloomberg 32% Scott Walker 40% 8
Lincoln Chafee 24% Scott Walker 39% 15
Martin O'Malley 26% Scott Walker 41% 15
Bernie Sanders 30% Scott Walker 40% 10
Jim Webb 25% Scott Walker 41% 16
Quinnipiac University[42] March 17–28, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 38% 9 1,077 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 39% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 38% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Scott Walker 38% 11
Public Policy Polling↑ March 2–3, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 40% 5 946 ± ?
Hillary Clinton 49% Scott Walker 41% 8
Quinnipiac University[44] January 22 – February 1, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 36% 11 943 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 34% 13
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 34% 15
Hillary Clinton 44% John Kasich 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 36% 12
Fox News October 28–30, 2014 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 38% 10 803 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% John Kasich 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Rick Perry 39% 10
Quinnipiac July 24–28, 2014 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 37% 11 1,366 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 37% 9
Hillary Clinton 47% John Kasich 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
Quinnipiac May 7–12, 2014 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 39% 9 1,174 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 38% 8
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 37% 14
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 41% 8
Hillary Clinton 47% John Kasich 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 41% 8
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Paul Ryan 41% 7
Quinnipiac February 12–17, 2014 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 36% 15 1,370 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 36% 13
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 34% 17
Hillary Clinton 51% John Kasich 39% 12
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 38% 13
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 36% 14
Hillary Clinton 49% Paul Ryan 40% 9
Quinnipiac November 19–24, 2013 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 37% 13 1,361 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 41% 1
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 35% 15
Hillary Clinton 49% John Kasich 38% 11
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 39% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Paul Ryan 41% 8
Public Policy Polling August 16–19, 2013 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 36% 14 551 ± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 36% 9
Hillary Clinton 53% John Kasich 35% 18
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 36% 15
Hillary Clinton 52% Paul Ryan 36% 16
Quinnipiac June 18–23, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 42% Tied 941 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 44% 3
Joe Biden 32% Chris Christie 50% 18
Joe Biden 40% Rand Paul 49% 9

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[39] August 7–18, 2015 Hillary Clinton 37% Jeb Bush 27% Donald Trump 23% 10 1096 3%

OregonOregon

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[157] May 22–27, 2014 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 36% 15 956 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 51% Chris Christie 34% 17
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 37% 15
Hillary Clinton 51% Mike Huckabee 39% 12
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 39% 12

PennsylvaniaPennsylvania

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling October 8–11, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 40% 5 1,012 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ben Carson 47% 4
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 40% 6
Hillary Clinton 42% Carly Fiorina 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 38% 9
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 39% 2
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 47% Rick Santorum 39% 8
Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% 2
Joe Biden 46% Ben Carson 44% 2
Joe Biden 46% Carly Fiorina 40% 6
Joe Biden 45% Marco Rubio 41% 4
Joe Biden 45% Donald Trump 43% 2
Bernie Sanders 36% Ben Carson 44% 8
Bernie Sanders 38% Carly Fiorina 40% 2
Bernie Sanders 40% Marco Rubio 41% 5
Bernie Sanders 42% Donald Trump 46% 4
Quinnipiac University[37] September 25 – October 5, 2015 Joe Biden 45% Jeb Bush 42% 3 1049 3%
Joe Biden 42% Ben Carson 47% 5
Joe Biden 44% Carly Fiorna 43% 1
Joe Biden 45% Marco Rubio 43% 2
Joe Biden 50% Donald Trump 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 40% Jeb Bush 46% 6
Hillary Clinton 40% Ben Carson 49% 9
Hillary Clinton 41% Carly Fiorna 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% 2
Bernie Sanders 42% Jeb Bush 44% 2
Bernie Sanders 37% Ben Carson 47% 10
Bernie Sanders 40% Carly Fiorna 44% 4
Bernie Sanders 39% Marco Rubio 45% 6
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 41% 5
Quinnipiac University[39] August 7–18, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5 1,085 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 40% Jeb Bush 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 47% 7
Joe Biden 48% Donald Trump 40% 8
Joe Biden 42% Jeb Bush 43% 1
Joe Biden 41% Marco Rubio 44% 3
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 41% 3
Bernie Sanders 36% Jeb Bush 44% 8
Bernie Sanders 33% Marco Rubio 45% 12
Quinnipiac University[40] June 4–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 41% 4 970 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 41% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 45% John Kasich 39% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 41% 5
Public Policy Polling May 21–24, 2015 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 38% 11 799 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ben Carson 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 41% 8
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 49% Rick Santorum 42% 7
Hillary Clinton 45% Scott Walker 41% 4
Lincoln Chafee 27% Scott Walker 36% 9
Martin O'Malley 30% Scott Walker 38% 8
Bernie Sanders 32% Scott Walker 37% 5
Jim Webb 29% Scott Walker 36% 8
Quinnipiac University[42] March 17–28, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 40% 6 1,036 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 39% 9
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 41% 5
Muhlenberg College January 28 – February 11, 2015 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 32% 16 351 ± 7%
Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 31% 19
Hillary Clinton ?% Mitt Romney ?% ?
Quinnipiac University[44] January 22 – February 1, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 35% 15 881 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 39% 11
Hillary Clinton 54% Mike Huckabee 34% 20
Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 34% 19
Hillary Clinton 54% Rick Santorum 34% 20
Public Policy Polling January 15–18, 2015 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 38% 11 1,042 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 51% Ben Carson 37% 14
Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 51% Mike Huckabee 39% 12
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 39% 11
Hillary Clinton 50% Mitt Romney 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 52% Rick Santorum 36% 16
Joe Biden 41% Mitt Romney 43% 2
Elizabeth Warren 36% Mitt Romney 44% 8
Public Policy Polling May 30 – June 1, 2014 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 37% 14 835 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 34% 19
Hillary Clinton 52% Mike Huckabee 37% 15
Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 38% 14
Hillary Clinton 51% Rick Santorum 40% 11
Quinnipiac May 29 – June 2, 2014 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 35% 16 1,308 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 41% 4
Hillary Clinton 51% Mike Huckabee 36% 15
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 37% 14
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 38% 12
Quinnipiac February 19–24, 2014 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 36% 17 1,405 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 34% 20
Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 38% 15
Hillary Clinton 53% Rick Santorum 37% 16
Quinnipiac December 11–16, 2013 Hillary Clinton 52% Jeb Bush 36% 16 1,061 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 36% 18
Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 40% 12
Hillary Clinton 51% Rick Santorum 38% 13
Public Policy Polling November 22–25, 2013 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 44% 4 693 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 41% 12
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 43% 8
Hillary Clinton 51% Rick Santorum 42% 9
Quinnipiac May 30 – June 4, 2013 Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 37% 15 1,032 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 53% Rick Santorum 36% 17
Joe Biden 45% Rand Paul 41% 4
Joe Biden 46% Rick Santorum 39% 7
Public Policy Polling March 8–10, 2013 Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 37% 15 504 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 52% Paul Ryan 40% 12
Hillary Clinton 55% Rick Santorum 38% 17
Quinnipiac March 6–11, 2013 Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 42% 5 1,116 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 54% Marco Rubio 36% 18
Hillary Clinton 55% Paul Ryan 38% 17
Joe Biden 38% Chris Christie 51% 13
Joe Biden 45% Marco Rubio 41% 4
Joe Biden 44% Paul Ryan 47% 13
Andrew Cuomo 32% Chris Christie 53% 21
Andrew Cuomo 42% Marco Rubio 38% 4
Andrew Cuomo 44% Paul Ryan 41% 3

Three-way race

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[39] August 7–18, 2015 Hillary Clinton 37% Jeb Bush 29% Donald Trump 24% 8 1,085 3%

South CarolinaSouth Carolina

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling November 7–8, 2015 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 47% 6 1,290 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 39% Ben Carson 51% 12
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Carly Fiorina 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 43% Mike Huckabee 47% 4
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 47% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 47% 5
Bernie Sanders 35% Jeb Bush 48% 13
Bernie Sanders 33% Ben Carson 51% 18
Bernie Sanders 35% Ted Cruz 45% 10
Bernie Sanders 33% Marco Rubio 46% 13
Bernie Sanders 38% Donald Trump 48% 10
Public Policy Polling[158] September 3–6, 2015 Hillary Clinton 37% Jeb Bush 47% 10 1,115
Hillary Clinton 36% Ben Carson 54% 18
Hillary Clinton 39% Ted Cruz 48% 9
Hillary Clinton 38% Carly Fiorina 48% 10
Hillary Clinton 39% Lindsey Graham 38% 1
Hillary Clinton 39% Mike Huckabee 49% 10
Hillary Clinton 38% John Kasich 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 46% 6
Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 50% 11
Hillary Clinton 39% Scott Walker 48% 9
Bernie Sanders 32% Jeb Bush 48% 16
Bernie Sanders 27% Ben Carson 51% 24
Bernie Sanders 28% Carly Fiorina 45% 17
Bernie Sanders 33% Lindsey Graham 39% 6
Bernie Sanders 35% Donald Trump 51% 16
Bernie Sanders 30% Scott Walker 46% 16
Joe Biden 39% Donald Trump 51% 12
Public Policy Polling[159] February 12–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 49% 7 868 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 41% Ben Carson 48% 7
Hillary Clinton 41% Chris Christie 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Lindsey Graham 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 41% Mike Huckabee 49% 8
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Rick Perry 48% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Scott Walker 46% 4
Joe Biden 36% Jeb Bush 53% 17
Elizabeth Warren 34% Jeb Bush 50% 16
NBC News/Marist February 3–10, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 48% 3 877 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 46% Tied
Harper Polling October 27–28, 2013 Hillary Clinton 38% Chris Christie 43% 5 676 ± 3.77%
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 41% 1
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 47% 7

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling [158] September 3–6, 2015 Hillary Clinton 34% Jeb Bush 25% Donald Trump 33% 1 1,115

TexasTexas

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
The Texas Lyceum [160] Sept 8–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 39% 2 633 LV ± 3.9%
Hillary Clinton 27% Jeb Bush 35% 8
Hillary Clinton 32% Ted Cruz 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 34% Marco Rubio 27% 7
Hillary Clinton 31% Scott Walker 33% 2
Hillary Clinton 38% Rick Perry 34% 4
The Texas Lyceum [160] Sept 8–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 33% 5 801 RV ± 3.35%
Hillary Clinton 27% Jeb Bush 32% 5
Hillary Clinton 31% Ted Cruz 32% 1
Hillary Clinton 32% Marco Rubio 22% 10
Hillary Clinton 31% Scott Walker 29% 2
Hillary Clinton 37% Rick Perry 31% 6
Public Policy Polling[161] April 10–13, 2014 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 50% 8 559 ± 4.1%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 50% 7
Hillary Clinton 42% Mike Huckabee 50% 8
Hillary Clinton 40% Rand Paul 50% 10
Hillary Clinton 44% Rick Perry 49% 5
Public Policy Polling November 1–4, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 49% 7 500 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 39% Chris Christie 44% 5
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 48% 3
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 47% Rick Perry 45% 2
Public Policy Polling June 28 – July 1, 2013 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 46% 3 500 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 38% Chris Christie 47% 9
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 49% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Rick Perry 44% 4
Public Policy Polling January 24–27, 2013 Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 43% 2 500 ±4.4%
Hillary Clinton 50% Rick Perry 42% 8
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 45% 1

UtahUtah

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 73%–25%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Dan Jones & Associates December 8–14, 2015 Hillary Clinton 28% Donald Trump 33% 5 622 ± 3.93%
Hillary Clinton 21% Marco Rubio 48% 27
Hillary Clinton 22% Jeb Bush 47% 25
Hillary Clinton 23% Ben Carson 52% 29

VirginiaVirginia

13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Roanoke College November 9–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 36% 14 601 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Carly Fiorina 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 41% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 44% Tied
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 39% 8
Christopher Newport University September 29 – October 8, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% 7 1,067 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ben Carson 49% 6
Hillary Clinton 43% Carly Fiorina 47% 4
Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 45% Tied
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 41% 8
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 47% 5
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 37% 12
Bernie Sanders 39% Ben Carson 49% 10
Bernie Sanders 39% Carly Fiorina 44% 5
Bernie Sanders 41% Jeb Bush 46% 5
Bernie Sanders 43% Marco Rubio 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 47% Ted Cruz 37% 10
Bernie Sanders 41% Chris Christie 44% 3
Joe Biden 54% Donald Trump 37% 17
Joe Biden 48% Ben Carson 44% 4
Joe Biden 48% Carly Fiorina 42% 6
Joe Biden 47% Jeb Bush 42% 5
Joe Biden 50% Marco Rubio 40% 10
Joe Biden 53% Ted Cruz 36% 17
Joe Biden 48% Chris Christie 41% 7
Roanoke College August 10–20, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 32% 11 535 ± 4.24%
Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 40% 2
Hillary Clinton 42% Scott Walker 38% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 40% 2
Quinnipiac University[20] July 9–20, 2015 Hillary Clinton 39% Jeb Bush 42% 3 1,209 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 40% Scott Walker 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 43% 2
Joe Biden 40% Jeb Bush 45% 5
Joe Biden 41% Scott Walker 45% 4
Joe Biden 41% Marco Rubio 45% 4
Bernie Sanders 36% Jeb Bush 46% 10
Bernie Sanders 36% Scott Walker 44% 8
Bernie Sanders 37% Marco Rubio 44% 7
Public Policy Polling July 13–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 38% 8 1,170 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 39% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Carly Fiorina 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Jim Gilmore 35% 12
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 47% Scott Walker 42% 5
Bernie Sanders 39% Jeb Bush 40% 1
Bernie Sanders 38% Marco Rubio 40% 2
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 39% 4
Bernie Sanders 38% Scott Walker 39% 1
Jim Webb 40% Scott Walker 37% 3
Christopher Newport University[162] April 13–24, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 48% 2 658 ± 4.6%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 44% 5
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 47% 2
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 43% 5
Quinnipiac University[21] March 29–April 7, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 40% 7 961 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 40% 6
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 47% Scott Walker 40% 7
Quinnipiac University[22] February 5–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 42% Tied 1,074 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 44% Mike Huckabee 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 42% 2
Hillary Clinton 45% Scott Walker 40% 5
Christopher Newport University January 30 – February 10, 2015 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 43% 5 794 ± 3.6%
Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 42% 7
Hillary Clinton 52% Mike Huckabee 42% 10
Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 42% 10
Hillary Clinton 51% Marco Rubio 42% 9
Hillary Clinton 52% Paul Ryan 42% 10
Roanoke College September 13–19, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 37% 10 630 ± 3.9%
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 35% 16
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 37% 13
Roanoke College July 14–19, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 34% 10 566 ± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 37% 10
Hillary Clinton 47% Paul Ryan 38% 9
Quinnipiac March 19–24, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 39% 8 1,288 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 41% 4
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 41% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 42% 6
Roanoke College February 22–28, 2014 Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 40% 8 707 ± 3.9%
Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 38% 14
Hillary Clinton 51% Paul Ryan 40% 11
Christopher Newport University February 23–28, 2014 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 38% 13 901 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 41% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 37% 10
Hillary Clinton 52% Mike Huckabee 37% 15
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 52% Paul Ryan 37% 15
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 35% 11
Washington Free Beacon November 19–20, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 44% 2 600 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 41% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 43% 7
Mark Warner 42% Chris Christie 41% 1
Mark Warner 52% Ted Cruz 37% 15
Mark Warner 53% Rand Paul 39% 14
Harper Polling September 15–16, 2013 Hillary Clinton 41% Chris Christie 41% Tied 779 ± 3.51%
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 40% 7
Purple Strategies September 6–10, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 40% 2 800 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 41% 7
Quinnipiac August 14–19, 2013 Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 37% 9 1,374 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 34% 17
Joe Biden 37% Chris Christie 44% 7
Joe Biden 47% Ted Cruz 37% 10
Quinnipiac July 11–15, 2013 Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 40% 5 1,030 ±3.1%
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 37% 14
Joe Biden 38% Chris Christie 46% 8
Joe Biden 47% Rand Paul 40% 7
Public Policy Polling July 11–14, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 41% 1 601 ±4%
Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 49% Bob McDonnell 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 39% 12
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 37% 12
Public Policy Polling May 24–26, 2013 Hillary Clinton 48% Bob McDonnell 42% 6 672 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 42% 4
Quinnipiac May 8–13, 2013 Hillary Clinton 51% Marco Rubio 38% 13 1,286 ±2.7%
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 40% 10
Mark Warner 51% Marco Rubio 33% 18
Mark Warner 50% Paul Ryan 37% 13
NBC News/Marist April 28 – May 2, 2012 Hillary Clinton 52% Bob McDonnell 41% 11 1,095 ±3%
Joe Biden 42% Bob McDonnell 49% 7
Public Policy Polling April 26–29, 2012 Mark Warner 50% Bob McDonnell 37% 13 680 ±3.8%

Three-way race

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
University of Mary Washington[163] November 4 -9, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 36% Jim Webb 16% 6 1,006 ±3.5%
Hillary Clinton 39% Ben Carson 44% Jim Webb 12% 5
Bernie Sanders 33% Donald Trump 38% Jim Webb 20% 5
Bernie Sanders 33% Ben Carson 42% Jim Webb 17% 9
Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 24% Donald Trump 27% 15

Washington (state)Washington

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing[164] May 18–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 37% 8 1,032 ±3%
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 40% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 37% 9
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 40% 8
Public Policy Polling May 14–17, 2015 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 37% 11 879 ±3.3%
Hillary Clinton 49% Ben Carson 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 34% 15
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 50% Mike Huckabee 37% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 50% Rick Perry 37% 13
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 49% Scott Walker 38% 10
Lincoln Chafee 29% Scott Walker 35% 6
Martin O'Malley 31% Scott Walker 34% 3
Bernie Sanders 35% Scott Walker 35% Tied
Jim Webb 32% Scott Walker 33% 1

West VirginiaWest Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Orion Strategies[165] August 24–25, 2015 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 53% 23 406 ±4.9%
Public Policy Polling[166] September 19–22, 2013 Hillary Clinton 38% Jeb Bush 52% 14 1,110 ±2.9%
Hillary Clinton 38% Chris Christie 47% 9
Hillary Clinton 41% Ted Cruz 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 39% Rand Paul 49% 10
Hillary Clinton 38% Paul Ryan 50% 12

WisconsinWisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Let America Work November 16-18, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 47% 5 900 ± 3.3%
Marquette University November 12–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 45% 1 803 ± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 38% 10
Bernie Sanders 47% Ben Carson 41% 6
Bernie Sanders 46% Marco Rubio 42% 4
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 35% 17
Marquette University September 24–28, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 38% 12 803 ± 4.1%
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 36% 14
Bernie Sanders 49% Jeb Bush 39% 10
Bernie Sanders 49% Marco Rubio 36% 13
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 34% 19
Marquette University August 13–16, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 42% 5 802 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 35% 16
Hillary Clinton 52% Scott Walker 42% 10
The Wisconsin Survey[167] April 8–17, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Scott Walker 42% 2 600 ± 4%
Marquette University April 7–10, 2015 Hillary Clinton 48.8% Jeb Bush 37.9% 10.9 803 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 52.1% Ted Cruz 36.4% 15.7
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 41% 8
Hillary Clinton 49.5% Marco Rubio 37.7% 11.8
Hillary Clinton 51.5% Scott Walker 39.8% 11.7
Public Policy Polling March 6–8, 2015 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 39% 10 1,071 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 49% Ben Carson 38% 11
Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 39% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Rick Perry 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 52% Scott Walker 43% 9
Joe Biden 48% Scott Walker 45% 3
Elizabeth Warren 48% Scott Walker 45% 3
Gravis Marketing October 3–4, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Paul Ryan 51% 7 837 ± 3%
Gravis Marketing September 22–23, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Paul Ryan 46% 1 908 ± 3%
Gravis Marketing July 31 – August 2, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Paul Ryan 48% 1 1,346 ± 3%
Public Policy Polling April 17–20, 2014 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 39% 11 1,144 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 36% 13
Hillary Clinton 50% Mike Huckabee 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 39% 11
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 45% 5
Hillary Clinton 51% Scott Walker 44% 7
Marquette University October 21–24, 2013 Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 40.3% 9.7 800 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 55.3% Ted Cruz 33.4% 21.9
Hillary Clinton 50.7% Paul Ryan 43% 7.7
Hillary Clinton 53.3% Scott Walker 40.6% 12.7
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 42% 4 1,180 ±2.9%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 40% 3
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 37% 11
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Paul Ryan 46% Tied
Hillary Clinton 49% Scott Walker 44% 5
Marquette University May 6–9, 2013 Hillary Clinton 46.5% Chris Christie 40% 6.5 717 ±3.7%
Hillary Clinton 50.8% Rand Paul 37.2% 13.6
Hillary Clinton 51.1% Marco Rubio 34.9% 16.2
Hillary Clinton 48.5% Paul Ryan 43.5% 5
Hillary Clinton 50.2% Scott Walker 41.7% 8.5
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 2013 Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 38% 14 1,799 ±2.3%
Hillary Clinton 51% Paul Ryan 43% 8
Hillary Clinton 54% Scott Walker 41% 13

WyomingWyoming

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%
(Republican in 2012) 69%–28%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[168] July 19–21, 2013 Hillary Clinton 31% Jeb Bush 58% 27 1,203 ±2.8%
Hillary Clinton 28% Chris Christie 56% 28
Hillary Clinton 32% Rand Paul 58% 26
Hillary Clinton 32% Marco Rubio 56% 24
Hillary Clinton 32% Paul Ryan 59% 27

References

  1. ↑ "Toss Ups for Senate, Governor in Alaska" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
  2. ↑ "Alaskans down on Palin, potential 2016 bid" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. August 12, 2014. Retrieved August 15, 2016.
  3. ↑ "Alaskans down on Palin as Presidential Candidate" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. May 14, 2014. Retrieved August 15, 2016.
  4. ↑ "Palin trails Clinton in Alaska; State Supports Gay Marriage For First Time" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. February 5, 2014. Retrieved August 15, 2016.
  5. ↑ "Murkowski approval down but gay marriage favor up" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. August 2, 2013. Retrieved August 15, 2016.
  6. ↑ "Clinton Is Competitive In Alaska" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. February 8, 2013. Retrieved August 15, 2016.
  7. ↑ "A SURVEY OF LIKELY NOVEMBER 2016 VOTERS IN ARIZONA" (PDF). Strategies 360. Retrieved August 15, 2016.
  8. ↑ "Clinton Closely Matched With Most Republicans in Arizona" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
  9. ↑ "McCain has worst poll numbers in the country" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. March 5, 2014. Retrieved August 15, 2016.
  10. ↑ "Arkansas Telephone Survey US Senate and Presidential Poll. Hillary Clinton". Retrieved 2015-07-09.
  11. ↑ "Hillary Clinton Losing Ground in Home State". Gravis Marketing. September 13, 2014. Retrieved August 15, 2016.
  12. ↑ "GOP ticket leads in Arkansas" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. September 22, 2014. Retrieved August 18, 2016.
  13. ↑ "Republicans Lead Clinton in Arkansas Potential 2016 Presidential Race" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. August 6, 2014. Retrieved August 18, 2016.
  14. ↑ "Clinton Brand Still Strong in Arkansas" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. May 1, 2014. Retrieved August 18, 2016.
  15. ↑ "Tom Cotton in Dead Heat with Mark Pryor for Arkansas Senate". Public Policy Polling. The Washington Free Beacon. August 10, 2013. Retrieved August 18, 2016.
  16. ↑ "Clinton Continues to Hold Dominant Position in California's Democratic Primary for President. No Clear Frontrunner on the Republican Side." (PDF). www.field.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
  17. ↑ "EMERSON COLLEGE POLL: CALIFORNIA MAYBE IN PLAY FOR 2016 PRESIDENTIAL RACE; HARRIS LEADS IN U.S.SENATE RACE; 71% SUPPORT WATER-USE RESTRICTIONS" (PDF). Emerson College. April 13, 2015. Retrieved August 18, 2016.
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