Opinion polling for the United Kingdom general election, 1997

The United Kingdom general election of 1997 saw the Labour Party win a landslide victory and end 18 years of Conservative government, with Tony Blair becoming prime minister. He had become leader of the party in July 1994, two months after the sudden death of his predecessor John Smith, and rebranded it "New Labour", in a move which was well-received by voters and which saw the abandonment of many traditional socialist policies of the Labour Party, including the mass nationalisation of industry which had been pioneered by Clement Attlee half a century earlier and remained on the Labour manifesto until the mid 1990s, whereas the Conservative government of Margaret Thatcher had privatised most of the state-owned industries and utilities during the 1980s, and the process had continued on a lesser scale under her successor John Major since November 1990.

The previous general election in 1992 had seen the Conservative win for the fourth successive election, although its majority was cut to 21 seats compared to the 102-seat majority it had won in 1987. However, the Black Wednesday debacle on 16 September 1992 had seriously damaged the Conservative government's reputation for economic excellence, and the Labour Party quickly became ascendant in the opinion polls. Subsequent local elections and parliamentary by-elections saw Labour and the Liberal Democrats both make gains at the expense of the Conservatives, and opinion polls pointed towards a wide Labour victory long before a general election was even on the political horizon.

Britain had been in recession in the run-up to the 1992 general election, with unemployment exceeding 2.5 million in April 1992 and reaching nearly 3 million by the end of that year. Black Wednesday was in fact followed by an economic upturn which saw an unprecedented run of economic growth that would remain unbroken for 16 years, with unemployment falling accordingly, but this did little to boost the Conservative showing in local elections, by-elections and opinion polls - even more so in the aftermath of Tony Blair's election as Labour leader. In December 1996, with an election no more than five months away, the Conservative majority finally disappeared. A series of scandals involving Conservative MP's, along with the long-running division within the party over Europe, had done the government no favours either.

On 17 March 1997, John Major called a general election for 1 May, and the opinion polls continued to point towards a large victory for Labour. Even The Sun newspaper, which had constantly supported the Tories for some 20 years and even claimed to have won the last election for the party with its fierce campaigning, declared its support for Tony Blair and "New Labour", condemning the Tories as "tired, divided and rudderless", and urged its readers to "give change a chance" and vote for a new government, although it still opposed some Labour policies.

In contrast to Labour's huge victory, the Conservatives were left with their lowest number MP's for well over a century, and without any representation in Scotland or Wales. John Major resigned as party leader, and was succeeded shortly afterwards by William Hague.

The Liberal Democrats did well, further cementing their place as the third largest party in Westminster, returning 41 MP's compared to 18 in 1992, although they actually took a smaller share of the vote compared to the previous election.

Date(s) Conducted Polling Organisation/Client Conservative Labour Liberal Democrats
1997/04/30CM/Guardian334318
1997/04/30Gallup/Telegraph334616
1997/04/30MORI/Evening Standard294719
1997/04/29Gallup/Telegraph315113
1997/04/29Harris/Independent314815
1997/04/29MORI/Times275115
1997/04/29NOP/Reuters285014
1997/04/28Gallup/Channel 4314914
1997/04/28Gallup/Telegraph295113
1997/04/27Gallup/Telegraph304914
1997/04/26Gallup/Sumday Telegraph314813
1997/04/25Gallup/Telegraph324814
1997/04/25ICM/Observer324716
1997/04/25NOP/Sunday Times294716
1997/04/24Gallup/Telegraph324812
1997/04/24MORI/Independent on Sunday295312
1997/04/23Gallup/Telegraph305012
1997/04/22Gallup/Channel 4315013
1997/04/22Gallup/Telegraph305112
1997/04/22MORI/Times274817
1997/04/21Gallup/Telegraph324812
1997/04/21ICM/Guardian374214
1997/04/20Gallup/Telegraph324813
1997/04/20Harris/Independent304815
1997/04/19Gallup/Sunday Telegraph315013
1997/04/18Gallup/Telegraph325013
1997/04/18ICM/Observer314815
1997/04/18NOP/Sunday Times294717
1997/04/17Gallup/Telegraph315012
1997/04/16Gallup/Telegraph315011
1997/04/15Gallup/Telegraph305112
1997/04/15MORI/Times324913
1997/04/14Gallup/Telegraph324914
1997/04/14Harris/Independent314913
1997/04/14ICM/Guardian314519
1997/04/14MORI/Evening Standard295015
1997/04/13Gallup/Telegraph305014
1997/04/12Gallup/Sunday Telegraph315013
1997/04/12Gallup/Telegraph324914
1997/04/11Gallup/Telegraph325211
1997/04/11ICM/Observer324815
1997/04/11NOP/Sunday Times284916
1997/04/10Gallup/Telegraph305211
1997/04/09Gallup/Telegraph295312
1997/04/08Gallup/Telegraph325111
1997/04/08MORI/Times344912
1997/04/07Gallup/Telegraph335310
1997/04/07Harris/Independent285412
1997/04/07ICM/Guardian344615
1997/04/06Gallup/Telegraph305510
1997/04/04ICM/Observer305014
1997/04/04MORI/Independent on Sunday30559
1997/04/04NOP/Reuters295211
1997/04/04NOP/Sunday Times265312
1997/04/03Gallup/Channel 4305411
1997/04/03Harris/Central News295511
1997/04/01MORI/Times285511
1997/03/31Harris/Independent285214
1997/03/31ICM/Guardian324617
1997/03/28Gallup/Telegraph315211
1997/03/24Harris/Independent285610
1997/03/24MORI/Times295014
1997/03/21Gallup/Sunday Telegraph275611
1997/03/17Gallup/Telegraph28.556.59.5
1997/03/17Harris/Independent275810
1997/03/14NOP/Reuters295411
1997/03/13NOP/Sunday Times265413
1997/03/10Harris/Independent265314
1997/03/09ORB/Ladbrokes265612
1997/03/04Gallup/Telegraph285412.5
1997/03/03Harris/Independent305510
1997/03/02ICM/Guardian304816
1997/02/24MORI/Times315211
1997/02/21NOP/Reuters295114
1997/02/13NOP/Sunday Times304913
1997/02/04Gallup/Telegraph344912
1997/02/02ICM/Guardian324815
1997/01/28MORI/Times305511
1997/01/16NOP/Sunday Times315412
1997/01/15Gallup/Telegraph32.550.510.5
1997/01/05ICM/Guardian314816
1997/01/05ORB/Ladbrokes305312
1996/12/14ICM/Observer305014
1996/12/09MORI/Times305113
1996/12/02Gallup/Telegraph225912
1996/12/01ICM/Guardian315015
1996/11/29MORI/Euro305213
1996/11/14NOP/Sunday Times265613
1996/11/11MORI/Times335012
1996/11/05Gallup/Telegraph285511
1996/11/02ICM/Guardian344715
1996/11/01MORI/Mail on Sunday305412
1996/10/28MORI/Times285612
1996/10/21MORI275412
1996/10/17NOP/Sunday Times334714
1996/10/14MORI305312
1996/10/07MORI295413
1996/10/05ICM/Guardian314916
1996/10/04Gallup/Telegraph245715
1996/10/03NOP/Sunday Times255713
1996/10/01Gallup/Telegraph27.55215
1996/09/24Gallup/Telegraph275413.5
1996/09/23MORI/Times295214
1996/09/19NOP/Sunday Times315014
1996/09/09MORI285612
1996/09/07ICM/Guardian324716
1996/09/03Gallup/Telegraph25.558.511
1996/08/25MORI/Times305113
1996/08/15NOP/Sunday Times285414
1996/08/12MORI305213
1996/08/05Gallup/Telegraph255911
1996/08/03ICM/Guardian334519
1996/07/28MORI/Times295312
1996/07/25NOP/Sunday Times295116
1996/07/06ICM/Guardian304521
1996/07/01Gallup/Telegraph2654.514.5
1996/07/01MORI325212
1996/06/24MORI/Times315212
1996/06/20NOP/Sunday Times275515
1996/06/10MORI275613
1996/06/06ICM/Guardian304619
1996/06/03Gallup/Telegraph22.55716
1996/06/02ICM/Guardian304619
1996/05/26MORI/Times275415
1996/05/16NOP/Sunday Times275217
1996/05/13MORI275613
1996/05/06Gallup/Telegraph24.555.515.5
1996/05/05ICM/Guardian284521
1996/05/03ICM/Sunday Express265215
1996/04/27MORI/Sun295413
1996/04/25NOP/Sunday Times285216
1996/04/22MORI/Times285414
1996/04/13ICM/Guardian295017
1996/04/01Gallup/Telegraph2655.515.5
1996/03/25MORI/Times285713
1996/03/14NOP/Sunday Times275514
1996/03/11MORI295513
1996/03/04Gallup/Telegraph2357.516
1996/03/04ICM/Guardian314520
1996/02/26MORI/Times265714
1996/02/16NOP/Sunday Times255416
1996/02/12MORI265714
1996/02/05Gallup/Telegraph2854.514.5
1996/02/04ICM/Guardian314719
1996/01/29MORI285415
1996/01/22MORI/Times295513
1996/01/19NOP/Sunday Times255418
1996/01/17NOP334714
1996/01/08Gallup/Telegraph2160.514.5
1996/01/06ICM/Guardian264822
1996/01/03NOP/Sunday Times295213
1995/12/15NOP/Sunday Times255516
1995/12/14ICM/Observer305014
1995/12/09ICM/Guardian264822
1995/12/04Gallup/Telegraph236212
1995/12/04MORI/Times285513
1995/12/01NOP/Sunday Times255715
1995/11/20MORI/Times265614
1995/11/17NOP/Sunday Times275613
1995/11/05ICM/Guardian314816
1995/10/30Gallup/Telegraph21.56114.5
1995/10/23MORI/Times275613
1995/10/20NOP/Sunday Times235915
1995/10/07ICM/Guardian304719
1995/10/02Gallup/Telegraph25.555.514
1995/09/25MORI/Times285116
1995/09/15NOP/Sunday Times275317
1995/09/09ICM/Guardian314817
1995/09/04Gallup/Telegraph26.554.514
1995/08/28MORI/Times255615
1995/08/18NOP/Sunday Times245715
1995/08/05ICM/Guardian314817
1995/07/31Gallup/Telegraph22.557.514.5
1995/07/31ICM/Express245814
1995/07/24MORI/Times265912
1995/07/21MORI/LWT305213
1995/07/21NOP/Sunday Times265514
1995/07/08ICM/Guardian324717
1995/07/03Gallup/Telegraph25.55713
1995/07/03MORI/European335210
1995/06/27MORI/Economist315511
1995/06/26MORI/Times295613
1995/06/24MORI/Mail on Sunday325411
1995/06/10ICM/Guardian245319
1995/06/05Gallup/Telegraph2059.514.5
1995/05/22MORI/Times225816
1995/05/13ICM/Guardian294819
1995/05/08Gallup/Telegraph2355.516.5
1995/04/24MORI/Times265615
1995/04/08ICM/Guardian265118
1995/04/03Gallup/Telegraph2357.515
1995/03/24MORI/Sunday Times255912
1995/03/20MORI/Times255713
1995/03/11ICM/Guardian275217
1995/02/27Gallup/Telegraph20.560.515
1995/02/20MORI/Times245814
1995/02/11ICM/Guardian314917
1995/01/30Gallup/Telegraph23.559.513
1995/01/23MORI/Times275614
1995/01/14ICM/Guardian304818
1995/01/13Harris/Sunday Times256012
1995/01/09Gallup/Telegraph18.56214
1994/12/19MORI/Times226113
1994/12/09ICM/Observer265317
1994/12/05Gallup/Telegraph21.56113.5
1994/12/03ICM/Guardian314917
1994/11/21MORI/Times245517
1994/11/05ICM/Guardian314916
1994/10/31Gallup/Telegraph21.556.517
1994/10/24MORI/Times255714
1994/10/08ICM/Guardian324915
1994/10/03Gallup/Telegraph25.55416.5
1994/09/27Gallup/Telegraph2157.515.5
1994/09/26MORI/Economist255218
1994/09/26MORI/Times255417
1994/09/16NOP/Independent285017
1994/09/10ICM/Guardian334518
1994/09/05Gallup/Telegraph2256.517
1994/08/26NOP/Independent on Sunday265416
1994/08/22MORI/Times235618
1994/08/06ICM/Guardian284919
1994/08/01Gallup/Telegraph2356.514.5
1994/07/18MORI/Times235121
1994/07/09ICM/Guardian314421
1994/07/04Gallup/Telegraph26.55117.5
1994/06/20MORI/Times245220
1994/06/10ICM/Sunday Express26.545.519
1994/06/06MORI/Times235022
1994/06/04ICM/Daily Express274522
1994/05/31MORI/GMB224622
1994/05/30Gallup/ Telegraph215421.5
1994/05/23MORI/Times274623
1994/05/21ICM/Guardian304420
1994/05/17ICM/Express264823
1994/05/14MORI/Sunday Times264920
1994/05/09Gallup/Telegraph24.545.525
1994/05/07ICM/Guardian294424
1994/04/25MORI/Times264723
1994/04/20NOP/Independent264821
1994/04/09ICM/Guardian304222
1994/04/04Gallup/Telegraph26.551.517.5
1994/04/01MORI/Evening Standard284622
1994/03/31NOP/Independent on Sunday265020
1994/03/28MORI/Times274920
1994/03/12ICM/Guardian294422
1994/02/28Gallup/Telegraph2548.521
1994/02/28MORI/Times284721
1994/02/12ICM/Guardian304421
1994/01/31Gallup/Telegraph2645.523
1994/01/27Audience Selection/Sunday Mirror284124
1994/01/24MORI/Times284820
1994/01/11Gallup/Telegraph25.546.520.5
1994/01/11MORI/Sun304620
1994/01/08ICM/Guardian314321
1993/12/14ICM/Observer264823
1993/12/13MORI/Times294720
1993/12/06Gallup/Telegraph2748.520
1993/12/04ICM/Guardian314223
1993/11/22MORI/Times294722
1993/11/13NOP/Sunday Times274721
1993/11/06ICM/Guardian343824
1993/11/01Gallup/Telegraph2446.525.5
1993/10/25MORI/Times294523
1993/10/09ICM/Guardian363920
1993/10/09ICM/Sunday Express304026
1993/09/27Gallup/Telegraph2344.527
1993/09/24ICM/Sunday Express274126
1993/09/21Gallup/Telegraph23.54426.5
1993/09/20MORI/Times294325
1993/09/11ICM/Guardian294026
1993/09/06Gallup/Telegraph25.546.523
1993/08/23MORI/Times284225
1993/08/07ICM/Guardian303627
1993/08/01Gallup/Telegraph2344.527
1993/07/30MORI/Sunday Times274128
1993/07/26MORI/Times274425
1993/07/23MORI/Sunday Times344418
1993/07/05Gallup/Telegraph24.54326.5
1993/07/03ICM/Guardian323725
1993/06/28MORI/Times284623
1993/06/12MORI/Sunday Times294422
1993/06/11NOP/Independent on Sunday274226
1993/06/05ICM/Guardian313826
1993/05/31Gallup/Telegraph254923
1993/05/24MORI/Times284424
1993/05/08ICM/Guardian323824
1993/05/03Gallup/Telegraph304717.5
1993/04/26MORI/Times324620
1993/04/10ICM/Guardian343921
1993/04/01Gallup/Telegraph30.54915.5
1993/03/29MORI/Times324717
1993/03/06ICM/Guardian364118
1993/03/01Gallup/Telegraph324914
1993/02/22MORI/Times344616
1993/02/06ICM/Guardian373918
1993/02/01Gallup/Telegraph33.54615.5
1993/01/26MORI/CCC384413
1993/01/21MORI/Sunday Times374514
1993/01/11Gallup/Telegraph33.545.514.5
1993/01/09ICM/Guardian393718
1992/12/15MORI/Sunday Times344716
1992/12/05ICM/Guardian364118
1992/12/01MORI/Sunday Times344715
1992/11/30Gallup/Telegraph295214
1992/11/20ICM/Express334914
1992/11/12Harris/Observer325114
1992/11/08Harris/World in Action305313
1992/11/07ICM/Guardian364019
1992/11/02Gallup/Telegraph32.55013
1992/10/30NOP/Independent on Sunday344714
1992/10/27MORI/Sunday Times354515
1992/10/19Gallup295114
1992/10/12Gallup364514
1992/10/10ICM/Guardian383819
1992/09/29MORI/Sunday Times374316
1992/09/28Gallup/Telegraph374415
1992/09/21Gallup/Telegraph374217
1992/09/19MORI/Sunday Times394315
1992/09/18NOP/Independent on Sunday394116
1992/09/17Harris/Observer364416
1992/09/07Gallup434112
1992/09/05ICM/Guardian393519
1992/09/02MORI/Sunday Times414413
1992/08/21MORI/Times384414
1992/08/14NOP/Independent on Sunday433914
1992/08/08ICM/Guardian413617
1992/08/03Gallup40.54512
1992/07/28MORI/Sunday Times394315
1992/07/16Harris/Observer443815
1992/07/06Gallup423816
1992/07/04ICM/Guardian453615
1992/06/23MORI/Sunday Times423916
1992/06/18Harris/Observer463615
1992/06/06ICM/Guardian453616
1992/06/01Gallup453717
1992/05/26MORI/Sunday Times433816
1992/05/17Audience Selection453713
1992/05/14Harris/Observer463713
1992/05/09ICM/Guardian453417
1992/05/04Gallup423917
1992/04/28MORI/Sunday Times433816
1992/04/16Harris/Observer443617
1992/04/12Gallup393819
1992/04/11Audience Selection423618
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