Maryland gubernatorial election, 2014

Maryland Gubernatorial Election, 2014
Maryland
November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04)
 
Nominee Larry Hogan Anthony G. Brown
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Boyd Rutherford Kenneth Ulman
Popular vote 884,400 818,890
Percentage 51.0% 47.2%

Election results by county. Red indicates counties carried by Hogan, blue indicates counties carried by Brown.
Governor before election

Martin O'Malley
Democratic

 Elected Governor

Larry Hogan
Republican

The 2014 Maryland gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Maryland. Incumbent Democratic Governor Martin O'Malley was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third consecutive term.

Gubernatorial candidates pick their running mates, with the two then running together on the same ticket. Primary elections were held on June 24, 2014. The Democrats nominated incumbent Lieutenant Governor Anthony G. Brown and Howard County Executive Kenneth Ulman, while the Republicans nominated former State Secretary of Appointments Larry Hogan and former State Secretary of General Services and former Assistant U.S. Secretary of Agriculture for Administration Boyd Rutherford.

Brown predicted that winning the general election would be just "a little bit of a molehill",[1] but he lost to Hogan by a margin of 65,510 votes in the heavily Democratic state.[2] The Washington Post called the result "a stunning upset" and Republican Governors Association Chairman Chris Christie called it "the biggest upset in the entire country."[3]

Background

Only one Republican had been elected Governor of Maryland in the last forty-eight years: Bob Ehrlich, in 2002. He was defeated for re-election in 2006 by Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley and lost a re-match with O'Malley in 2010.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Running mate: Freda Jaffe, sister of Ralph Jaffe[8]
  • Running mate: Clarence Tucker[11]
  • Running mate: Mary Elizabeth Wingate-Pennacchia

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Anthony G.
Brown		 Peter
Franchot		 Doug
Gansler		 Heather
Mizeur		 Kenneth
Ulman		 Other Undecided
Washington Post June 5–8, 2014 487 ± 5% 46% — 23% 16% — — 16%
Baltimore Sun May 31–June 3, 2014 499 ± 4.4% 41% — 20% 15% — — 15%
WPA Opinion Research** May 6–7, 2014 ? ± ? 34% — 20% 7% — 3% 40%
St. Mary's College April 10–13, 2014 502 ± ? 27.1% — 10.8% 7.7% — — 54.3%
Washington Post February 13–16, 2014 469 ± 5.5% 34% — 15% 8% — — 43%
Baltimore Sun February 8–12, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 35% — 14% 10% — — 40%
Gonzales Research October 1–14, 2013 403 ± 5% 40.7% — 21.1% 5.2% — — 33%
GarinHartYang* September 11–15, 2013 608 ± 4% 43% — 21% 5% — — 31%
46% — 24% — — — 30%
WPA Opinion Research** September 10–11, 2013 ? ± ? 40% — 22% 7% — — 38%
NormingtonPets^ December 3–5, 2012 ? ± 4.4% 22% 13% 8% — 4% — 53%
GarinHartYang* September 12–13, 2012 504 ± 4.4% 31% 14% 18% — 4% — 33%
37% — 23% — 5% — 35%
41% — 25% — — — 34%

Results

Democratic primary results[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Anthony G. Brown/Kenneth Ulman 249,398 51.41
Democratic Doug Gansler/Jolene Ivey 117,383 24.2
Democratic Heather Mizeur/Delman Coates 104,721 21.59
Democratic Cindy Walsh/Mary Elizabeth Wingate-Pennacchia 6,863 1.41
Democratic Charles U. Smith/Clarence Tucker 3,507 0.72
Democratic Ralph Jaffe/Freda Jaffe 3,221 0.66
Total votes 485,093 100

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Running mate: Shelley Aloi, banking analyst and former Frederick Alderman[51]
  • Running mate: Boyd Rutherford, former State Secretary of General Services and former Assistant U.S. Secretary of Agriculture for Administration[53]

Disqualified

  • Running mate: Duane "Shorty" Davis, activist[57]

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 David
Craig		 Ron
George		 Larry
Hogan		 Charles
Lollar		 Other Undecided
Washington Post June 5–8, 2014 228 ± 7.5% 19% 5% 35% 13% 3% 29%
Baltimore Sun May 31–June 3, 2014 501 ± 4.4% 12% 6% 27% 12% — 37%
St. Mary's College April 10–13, 2014 270 ± ? 7.8% 3.8% 16% 3.8% — 68.6%
Washington Post February 13–16, 2014 290 ± 7% 13% 4% 17% 10% 1% 57%
Baltimore Sun February 8–12, 2014 499 ± 4.4% 7% 6% 13% 5% — 69%

Results

Republican primary results[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Larry Hogan/Boyd Rutherford 92,376 42.98
Republican David R. Craig/Jeannie Haddaway 62,639 29.14
Republican Charles Lollar/Kenneth Timmerman 33,292 15.49
Republican Ron George/Shelley Aloi 26,628 12.39
Total votes 214,935 100

General election

Candidates

  • Running mate: Boyd Rutherford, former State Secretary of General Services and former Assistant U.S. Secretary of Agriculture for Administration
  • Running mate: Lorenzo Gaztanaga, perennial candidate

Campaign

Hogan heavily criticized Brown for his handling of Maryland's health care exchange as apart of Affordable Care Act, labeling him as "the most incompetent man in Maryland."[71] The Maryland Health Benefit Exchange enrolled less than 4,000 people.[72]

Hogan avoided social issues by promising not to touch the state's abortion or gun control laws.[73] Campaign ads were a significant part of the first debate, culminating in Hogan's call for Brown to "apologize to the women of Maryland for trying to scare them."

Brown pledged no new taxes, no increased taxes, and a look at state spending if elected. Hogan responded by citing Brown/O'Malley's same claim in the 2010 election and how that claim was followed by "40 consecutive tax hikes."[74] Brown said there have been times he's disagreed with O'Malley, like on mortgage reduction.[75] "Brown did not stay to take questions from reporters" and both candidates accused the other of not telling the truth.[76]

Debates

Three debates were scheduled and occurred during the Maryland Governor's Race.[77]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Anthony G.
Brown (D)		 Larry
Hogan (R)		 Other Undecided
WPA Opinion Research* October 20–24, 2014 500 ± 3.5% 39% 44% — 17%
Gonzales Research October 20–24, 2014 822 ± 3.5% 46% 44% 2%[78] 18%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 1,086 ± 5% 51% 38% 0% 11%
WPA Opinion Research* October 19–20, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 42% 41% — 15%
Gravis Marketing October 6–9, 2014 784 ± 3.5% 46% 43% — 11%
Baltimore Sun October 4–8, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 49% 42% — 9%
Washington Post October 2–5, 2014 549 LV ± 5% 47% 38% 4%[78] 11%
807 RV ± 4% 44% 31% 6%[78] 19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 1,096 ± 4% 55% 38% 1% 7%
Gonzales Research September 16–23, 2014 805 ± 3.5% 47% 43% 1%[78] 9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 1,082 ± 4% 51% 37% 3% 10%
OnMessage, Inc.* August 18–19, 2014 500 ± 4.38 45% 42% 4%[78] 9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 1,409 ± ? 52% 39% 2% 6%
Rasmussen Reports July 9–10, 2014 750 ± 4% 48% 35% 7% 10%
Washington Post June 5–8, 2014 962 ± 3.5% 51% 33% — 16%
WPA Opinion Research* May 6–7, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 42% 35% — 23%
WPA Opinion Research* September 10–11, 2013 ? ± ? 46% 32% — 22%

Results

Maryland gubernatorial election, 2014[2]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Larry Hogan/Boyd Rutherford 884,400 51.03% +9.23%
Democratic Anthony G. Brown/Kenneth Ulman 818,890 47.25% -9.00%
Libertarian Shawn Quinn/Lorenzo Gaztanaga 25,382 1.46% +0.69%
Write-ins 4,505 0.26%
Majority 65,510 3.78%
Turnout 1,733,177
Republican gain from Democratic Swing +18.23%

By county

County Brown Votes Hogan Votes Others Votes Totals
Allegany 22.3% 4,629 75.8% 15,410 1.90% 439 19,595
Anne Arundel 31.7% 58,001 66.8% 119,195 1.50% 3,142 170,697
Baltimore (City) 75.8% 99,091 22.3% 29,158 1.9% 2,450 130,699
Baltimore (County)38.8% 102,734 59.50% 155,936 1.6% 5,473 252,134
Calvert 29.0% 9,137 69.4% 21,878 1.6% 518 31,533
Caroline 20.8% 1,853 77.9% 6,949 1.3% 118 8,920
Carroll 15.9% 9,898 82.6% 51,345 1.5% 916 86,043
Cecil 20.3% 5,270 77.6% 20,160 2.10% 537 25,967
Charles 51.8% 23,608 47.0% 21,437 1.1% 519 45,564
Dorchester 28.8% 2,866 70.1% 6,973 1.2% 115 9,954
Frederick 34.5% 26,463 63.6% 48,880 1.9% 1,469 76,812
Garrett 17.6% 1,536 80.0% 6,971 2.3% 202 8,709
Harford 21.6% 19,096 76.8% 67,867 1.5% 1,354 88,317
Howard 46.6% 47,204 51.9% 52,525 1.5% 1,503 101,232
Kent 33.6% 2,483 64.9% 4,794 1.5% 110 7,387
Montgomery 61.8% 155,515 37.0% 90,620 1.2% 3,022 249,157
Prince George's 84.5% 174,005 14.8% 30,451 0.8% 1,568 206,024
Queen Anne's 19.2% 3,603 79.8% 14,994 1.0% 190 18,787
Somerset 30.9% 1,947 68.0% 4,277 1.1% 70 18,787
St. Mary's 24.8% 7,749 73.2% 22,862 1.9% 604 31,215
Talbot 29.0% 4,196 69.8% 10,089 1.1% 160 14,445
Washington 24.5% 9,126 73.8% 27,440 1.7% 619 58,920
Wicomico 33.6% 8,276 64.9% 15,959 1.5% 366 24,601
Worcester 28.9% 5,203 69.4% 12,521 1.7% 308 18,032

See also

References

  1. ↑ "Maryland Governor's race has turned unexpectedly tight". Washington Post. Retrieved 15 November 2014.
  2. 1 2 "Unofficial 2014 Gubernatorial General Election results for Governor / Lt. Governor". Maryland State Board of Elections. November 6, 2014. Retrieved November 6, 2014.
  3. ↑ John Wagner and Jenna Johnson (5 November 2014). "Republican Larry Hogan wins Md. governor's race in stunning upset". The Washington Post.
  4. ↑ Davis, Aaron C. (May 10, 2013). "Brown launches bid for Maryland governor". The Washington Post. Retrieved May 11, 2013.
  5. 1 2 3 Metcalf, Andrew (June 3, 2013). "Ulman Makes it Official, Will Run on Ticket with Brown". Elkridge, MD Patch. Retrieved June 3, 2013.
  6. ↑ "Doug Gansler To Make Bid For Governor Official In Sept.". CBS Baltimore. Retrieved June 25, 2013.
  7. ↑ Wagner, John (October 14, 2013). "Gansler announces Jolene Ivey as his 2014 gubernatorial running mate". The Washington Post. Retrieved October 18, 2013.
  8. 1 2 Shapiro, Marc (November 20, 2013). "Ralph Jaffe Declares Gubernatorial Candidacy". Baltimore Jewish Times. Retrieved June 25, 2013.
  9. ↑ Celock, John (July 17, 2013). "Heather Mizeur Running For Governor Of Maryland". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 17, 2013.
  10. ↑ Wagner, John (November 13, 2013). "Mizeur to name Delman Coates, a Prince George's pastor, as her running mate in Md.". The Washington Post. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
  11. 1 2 "State, county seats up for grabs this year". Gazette.net. December 31, 2013. Retrieved February 16, 2014.
  12. 1 2 "Filing Deadline For Candidates Passes; Sixth Democrat Files For Governor". WBAL.com. February 25, 2014. Retrieved February 27, 2014.
  13. ↑ John Fritze; Erin Cox (January 22, 2014). "Rep. Delaney fuels speculation he will run for governor". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved January 29, 2014.
  14. ↑ John Wagner (January 26, 2014). "Amid rumors of a gubernatorial bid, Delaney says he expects to run again for Congress". The Washington Post. Retrieved January 29, 2014.
  15. ↑ John Wagner (February 18, 2014). "Delaney, after looking at Maryland governor's field, files to run for second term in Congress". The Washington Post. Retrieved February 19, 2014.
  16. ↑ Dresser, Michael (December 11, 2012). "Franchot says he won't run for governor". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved May 11, 2013.
  17. ↑ Wagner, John (January 22, 2014). "Ruppersberger makes it official: He's not running for governor of Maryland". Washington Post. Retrieved January 22, 2014.
  18. ↑ "Bill Clinton endorses Anthony Brown". Baltimore Sun. April 8, 2014. Retrieved April 13, 2014.
  19. 1 2 3 "Senator Ben Cardin Endorses Anthony Brown for Governor and Ken Ulman for Lt. Governor". anthonybrown.com. November 18, 2013. Retrieved November 20, 2013.
  20. 1 2 Wagner, John (July 18, 2013). "Hoyer to announce support of Brown in Maryland 2014 race for governor". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 19, 2013.
  21. ↑ John Wagner (September 22, 2013). "Mikulski says she's 'ready to get into it' to help elect Anthony Brown as Maryland governor". The Washington Post. Retrieved September 24, 2013.
  22. ↑ John Wagner (September 23, 2013). "John Sarbanes adds his name to those backing Brown's bid for Maryland governor". The Washington Post. Retrieved September 24, 2013.
  23. 1 2 "Mayor Stephanie Rawlings-Blake Endorses Brown For Governor". CBS Baltimore. July 1, 2013. Retrieved July 2, 2013.
  24. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 "Endorsements". anthonybrown.com. Retrieved October 23, 2013.
  25. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Wagner, John (July 22, 2013). "Hoyer, Miller among latest to endorse Anthony Brown's bid for Maryland governor". Washington Post. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
  26. ↑ Bush, Matt (January 10, 2014). "House Speaker Busch Endorses Anthony Brown For Maryland Governor". wamu.org. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
  27. ↑ "Anthony Brown and Ken Ulman Endorsed by Maryland-DC Council of AFL-CIO". AnthonyBrown.com. October 26, 2013. Retrieved October 29, 2013.
  28. ↑ "SEIU Maryland-DC State Council Endorses Anthony Brown and Ken Ulman". AnthonyBrown.com. September 30, 2013. Retrieved October 1, 2013.
  29. ↑ Wagner, John (July 31, 2013). "Brown wins backing of veterans group in Maryland gubernatorial race". Washington Post. Retrieved August 1, 2013.
  30. ↑ "MSEA endorses Lt. Gov. Anthony Brown for Maryland governor". WJLA.com. October 19, 2013. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
  31. ↑ "AFSCME endorses Brown-Ulman campaign for Md Governor". delmarvanow.com. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
  32. ↑ Wagner, John (December 23, 2013). "Maryland's leading gay-rights group endorses Anthony Brown in 2014 race for governor". The Washington Post. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
  33. ↑ "Anthony Brown for Maryland governor". The Washington Post. May 11, 2014. Retrieved May 11, 2014.
  34. ↑ Moon, David (September 19, 2013). "Gansler Hints at Runningmate, Frick & Braveboy for Atty General, Mikulski Endorsing Brown, Franchot Kickoff". marylandjuice.com. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
  35. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Moon, David (September 25, 2013). "Gansler's Kickoff, D15 Candidates Forum, Lower Corporate Taxes in MD vs. VA, MoCo's 10-Line Transit Network". marylandjuice.com. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
  36. ↑ "10th District: Doug Gansler Endorsed in Northwest Baltimore County". YouTube. September 26, 2013. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
  37. ↑ "Governor hopeful Gansler brings campaign to Southern Maryland". SoMdNews.com. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
  38. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "Endorsements". Gansler/Ivey. Retrieved March 3, 2014.
  39. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Mizeur gains endorsement of Gilchrest, Shore leaders". Heathermizeur.com. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
  40. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "Heather Mizeur Receives Endorsements from Prince George's County Municipal Leaders". Heathermizeur.com. October 10, 2013. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
  41. 1 2 3 "City Councilwoman Mary Pat Clarke endorses Heather Mizeur for governor". Heathermizeur.com. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
  42. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 "Delegate Heather Mizeur Receives Endorsements from Takoma Park Leaders". Heathermizeur.com. September 4, 2013. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
  43. ↑ "Delegate Heather Mizeur's Campaign for Governor Continues to Pick Up Early Strength". Heathermizeur.com. September 9, 2013. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
  44. 1 2 3 "Sierra Club endorses Mizeur". The Baltimore Sun. January 20, 2014. Retrieved January 22, 2014.
  45. ↑ Wagner, John (January 31, 2014). "Maryland gubernatorial hopeful Mizeur wins backing of national marijuana reform group". The Washington Post. Retrieved 16 February 2014.
  46. ↑ Riley, John (July 25, 2013). "Mizeur Makes It Official". Metro Weekly. Retrieved August 15, 2013.
  47. 1 2 "Official 2014 Gubernatorial Primary Election results for Governor / Lt. Governor". Maryland Secretary of State. July 16, 2014. Retrieved July 30, 2014.
  48. ↑ Dresser, Michael (June 3, 2013). "Craig launches GOP bid for governor". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved June 3, 2013.
  49. ↑ "Republican David Craig Announces Running Mate in Maryland Governor's Race". nbcwashington.com. July 16, 2013. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
  50. ↑ "Maryland GOP Del. Ron George to run for governor". Capital Gazette. April 30, 2013.
  51. ↑ White, Brian (February 25, 2014). "Ron George picks Shelley Aloi as running mate". The Washington Times. Retrieved February 25, 2014.
  52. ↑ Wagner, John (June 3, 2013). "New candidates to step forward Monday in Maryland's race for governor". The Washington Post. Retrieved June 4, 2013.
  53. ↑ Dresser, Michael (January 29, 2014). "Hogan names Boyd Rutherford as running mate". Baltimore Sun. Retrieved January 30, 2014.
  54. ↑ Wagner, John (August 9, 2013). "Lollar to launch Maryland gubernatorial campaign during first week of September". Washington Post. Retrieved August 15, 2013.
  55. ↑ Wagner, John (February 24, 2014). "Maryland GOP gubernatorial hopeful Lollar chooses Kenneth Timmerman as running mate". Washington Post. Retrieved February 24, 2014.
  56. ↑ Alex Jackson (March 19, 2014). "GOP candidate Vaeth disqualified from Maryland gubernatorial race". Capital Gazette. Retrieved July 17, 2014.
  57. ↑ Lang, Robert (May 7, 2013). "Ex-Firefighter & Activist Form First GOP Ticket For Governor". WBAL (AM). Retrieved June 2, 2013.
  58. 1 2 Wagner, John (August 24, 2013). "GOP's Young decides against bid for governor of Maryland next year". Washington Post. Retrieved August 26, 2013.
  59. 1 2 Wagner, John (June 1, 2013). "Bongino confirms bid for Congress rather than Maryland governor". The Washington Post. Retrieved June 2, 2013.
  60. 1 2 3 Dresser, Michael (March 1, 2012). "Craig run for GOP governor nod looks like a go". Baltimore Sun. Retrieved March 2, 2012.
  61. ↑ "State Sen. Nancy Jacobs to run for Congress". Star Dem. January 4, 2012.
  62. ↑ Michael Dresser and Annie Linskey (January 18, 2012). "Gansler leads in money race". The Baltimore Sun.
  63. ↑ Blum, Agnes (September 20, 2013). "Bethesda Republican Meyer Marks out of governor's race". The Gazette. Retrieved January 22, 2014.
  64. ↑ Wagner, John (August 5, 2013). "Top Maryland Senate Republican E.J. Pipkin plans to resign, move to Texas". Washington Post.
  65. ↑ Wagner, John (September 18, 2013). "Former RNC chair Michael Steele will 'take a pass' on Maryland governor's race". The Washington Post. Retrieved September 19, 2013.
  66. ↑ Wagner, John (July 16, 2013). "David Craig unveils Del. Haddaway-Riccio as running mate in Maryland governor's race". The Washington Post. Retrieved February 18, 2014.
  67. ↑ "GOP's Craig to enter race for governor; Brown picks Ulman for ticket". May 29, 2013. Retrieved February 18, 2014.
  68. ↑ Collins, David (October 22, 2014). "Chris Christe Again Stops for Larry Hogan". WBAL. Retrieved November 4, 2014.
  69. ↑ Wagner, John (February 5, 2014). "Ehrlich to appear at event for Maryland GOP gubernatorial hopeful Larry Hogan". The Washington Post. Retrieved February 10, 2014.
  70. ↑ Griffiths, Brian (December 12, 2013). "Larry Hogan for Governor". Retrieved February 10, 2014.
  71. ↑ "A summer sequel: Hogan posts another ad on 'the most incompetent man in Maryland'". Washington Post. Retrieved 15 November 2014.
  72. ↑ Alexander Burns. "Obamacare fight erupts in deep-blue Maryland". POLITICO. Retrieved 15 November 2014.
  73. ↑ Kevin Robillard. "How Larry Hogan won in Maryland". POLITICO. Retrieved 15 November 2014.
  74. ↑ Seven commentators (October 7, 2014). "Analyzing the gubernatorial debate: Commentators react". Maryland Reporter. Retrieved October 25, 2014. Here are some reactions to last night's debate
  75. ↑ "BLOG: Maryland Gubernatorial Debate Wrap-Up". WJZ-TV. October 7, 2014. Retrieved October 8, 2014.
  76. ↑ Dresser, Michael; Cox, Erin (October 7, 2014). "Brown, Hogan accuse each other of not telling truth". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved October 8, 2014.
  77. 1 2 "2014 Maryland Gubernatorial Debates". Maryland Public Television. Retrieved October 8, 2014.
  78. 1 2 3 4 5 Shawn Quinn (L)

External links

Official campaign websites
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