Illinois Democratic primary, 2016
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| Election results by county. Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 2016 Illinois Democratic primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Illinois as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
On the same day, the Democratic Party held primaries in Florida, Missouri, North Carolina and Ohio, while the Republican Party held primaries in the same five states, including their own Illinois primary, plus the Northern Mariana Islands.
Opinion polling
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primary results | March 15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 50.6% |
Bernie Sanders 48.6% |
Others 0.8% |
| McKeon & Associates[1]
Margin of error: ± 4.1%
|
March 12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 31% |
Bernie Sanders 30% |
Others / Undecided 39% |
| Public Policy Polling[2]
Margin of error: ± 3.9%
|
March 11–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 48% |
Bernie Sanders 45% |
Others / Undecided 7% |
| CBS News/YouGov[3]
Margin of error: ± 5.5%
|
March 9–11, 2016 | Bernie Sanders 48% |
Hillary Clinton 46% |
Others / Undecided 6% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[4]
Margin of error: ± 4.3%
|
March 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 51% |
Bernie Sanders 45% |
Others / Undecided 4% |
| We Ask America[5]
Margin of error: ± 3.11%
|
March 7–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 62% |
Bernie Sanders 25% |
Others / Undecided 13% |
| Chicago Tribune[6]
Margin of error: ±4.1%
|
March 2–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 67% |
Bernie Sanders 25% |
Others / Undecided 8% |
| We Ask America[7]
Margin of error: ± 3.0
|
February 24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 57% |
Bernie Sanders 28% |
Others / Undecided 15% |
| The Simon Poll/SIU[8]
Margin of error: ± 5.6
|
February 15–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 51% |
Bernie Sanders 32% |
Others / Undecided 17% |
| The Illinois Observer[9]
Margin of error: ± 4.23
|
February 11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 58% |
Bernie Sanders 25% |
Others / Undecided 18% |
| McKeon & Associates[10]
Margin of error: ± 3.9
|
February 3–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 36% |
Bernie Sanders 25% |
Others / Undecided 39% |
| Public Policy Polling[11]
Margin of error: ± 4.9%
|
July 20–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 60% |
Bernie Sanders 23% |
Others / Undecided 17% |
Results
| Illinois Democratic Presidential Primary Results – 2016 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Delegates | ||
| Democratic | Hillary Rodham Clinton | 1,039,055 | 50.56% | 79 | ||
| Democratic | Bernard Sanders | 999,494 | 48.61% | 77 | ||
| Democratic | Willie Wilson | 6,565 | 0.32% | 0 | ||
| Democratic | Martin Joseph O'Malley | 6,197 | 0.30% | 0 | ||
| Democratic | Lawrence Cohen | 2,407 | 0.12% | 0 | ||
| Democratic | Rocky De La Fuente | 1,802 | 0.09% | 0 | ||
| Democratic | Others | 27 | 0.00% | 0 | ||
| Totals | 2,056,047 | 100.00% | 156 | |||
| Voter turnout | % | — | ||||
Results By County
| County | Clinton | Votes | Sanders | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adams | 50.78% | 1,784 | 47.08% | 1,654 |
| Alexander | 59.97% | 770 | 33.80% | 434 |
| Bond | 44.94% | 719 | 53.44% | 855 |
| Boone | 41.11% | 1,958 | 58.30% | 2,777 |
| Brown | 49.23% | 160 | 48.00% | 156 |
| Bureau | 44.44% | 1,523 | 54.27% | 1,860 |
| Calhoun | 44.92% | 447 | 50.65% | 504 |
| Carroll | 48.75% | 625 | 50.08% | 642 |
| Cass | 46.93% | 504 | 50.19% | 539 |
| Champaign | 33.24% | 10,721 | 66.48% | 21,440 |
| Christian | 46.86% | 1,401 | 51.14% | 1,529 |
| Clark | 44.75% | 562 | 52.87 | 664 |
| Clay | 44.89% | 378 | 52.14% | 439 |
| Clinton | 41.14% | 908 | 57.54% | 1,270 |
| Coles | 39.96% | 1,714 | 58.92% | 2,527 |
| Cook | 53.66% | 633,300 | 45.49% | 536,805 |
| Crawford | 49.96% | 609 | 47.99% | 585 |
| Cumberland | 39.57% | 364 | 56.30% | 518 |
| Dekalb | 33.10% | 4,146 | 66.50% | 8,330 |
| De Witt | 45.32% | 561 | 53.31% | 660 |
| Douglas | 42.27% | 484 | 56.16% | 643 |
| DuPage | 47.32% | 59,798 | 52.35% | 66,163 |
| Edgar | 47.40% | 446 | 49.73% | 468 |
| Edwards | 48.15% | 143 | 49.83% | 148 |
| Effingham | 40.35% | 868 | 58.02% | 1,248 |
| Fayette | 47.90% | 616 | 50.00% | 643 |
| Ford | 39.08% | 288 | 59.43% | 438 |
| Franklin | 42.13% | 2,179 | 53.79% | 2,782 |
| Fulton | 45.15% | 2,153 | 53.26% | 2,540 |
| Gallatin | 40.35% | 531 | 50.38% | 663 |
| Greene | 46.90% | 507 | 49.49% | 535 |
| Grundy | 39.44% | 2,053 | 59.67% | 3,106 |
| Hamilton | 42.83% | 418 | 49.69% | 485 |
| Hancock | 56.39% | 631 | 41.82% | 468 |
| Hardin | 40.40% | 162 | 55.36% | 222 |
| Henderson | 52.07% | 339 | 45.47% | 296 |
| Henry | 50.65% | 2,159 | 48.44% | 2,065 |
| Iroquois | 37.47% | 544 | 60.67% | 881 |
| Jackson | 37.40% | 2,842 | 62.03% | 4,713 |
| Jasper | 40.54% | 328 | 53.65% | 434 |
| Jefferson | 47.15% | 1,678 | 49.93% | 1,777 |
| Jersey | 43.59% | 857 | 54.48% | 1,071 |
| Jo Daviess | 51.44% | 1,320 | 47.78% | 1,226 |
| Johnson | 45.13% | 361 | 52.50% | 420 |
| Kane | 43.41% | 23,505 | 56.21% | 30,234 |
| Kankakee | 45.67% | 4,902 | 53.67% | 5,761 |
| Kendall | 41.54% | 5,611 | 58.04% | 7,841 |
| Knox | 47.27% | 2,957 | 51.50% | 3,222 |
| Lake | 52.68% | 50,271 | 46.97% | 44,823 |
| LaSalle | 43.47% | 5,279 | 55.55% | 6,746 |
| Lawrence | 46.85% | 417 | 48.43% | 431 |
| Lee | 39.46% | 1,295 | 59.75% | 1,961 |
| Livingston | 43.47% | 832 | 55.07% | 1,054 |
| Logan | 42.79% | 739 | 56.40% | 974 |
| McDonough | 41.43% | 1,054 | 57.82% | 1,471 |
| McHenry | 38.82% | 13,221 | 60.78% | 20,702 |
| McLean | 37.11% | 7,726 | 62.48% | 13,008 |
| Macon | 53.86% | 5,958 | 45.15% | 4,995 |
| Macoupin | 43.10% | 2,783 | 54.78% | 3,537 |
| Madison | 44.04% | 15,572 | 55.04% | 19,463 |
| Marion | 47.65% | 1,630 | 49.93% | 1,708 |
| Marshall | 49.01% | 569 | 50.47% | 586 |
| Mason | 49.10% | 680 | 48.88% | 677 |
| Massac | 51.38% | 549 | 46.81% | 492 |
| Menard | 44.37% | 398 | 54.74% | 491 |
| Mercer | 51.27% | 496 | 46.61% | 860 |
| Monroe | 44.21% | 1,438 | 54.66% | 1,778 |
| Montgomery | 48.28% | 1,250 | 49.32% | 1,277 |
| Morgan | 41.54% | 936 | 57.17% | 1,288 |
| Moultrie | 44.27% | 467 | 53.65% | 566 |
| Ogle | 40.17% | 2,642 | 59.20% | 2,642 |
| Peoria | 52.14% | 11,473 | 47.31% | 10,409 |
| Perry | 46.82% | 855 | 50.99% | 931 |
| Piatt | 43.01% | 788 | 55.51% | 1,017 |
| Pike | 50.92% | 497 | 46.21% | 451 |
| Pope | 37.20% | 109 | 60.07% | 176 |
| Pulaski | 61.70% | 385 | 34.78% | 217 |
| Putnam | 46.71% | 455 | 51.75% | 504 |
| Randolph | 44.59% | 1,314 | 52.77% | 1,555 |
| Richland | 43.75% | 448 | 53.81% | 551 |
| Rock Island | 51.62% | 10,240 | 47.11% | 9,345 |
| St. Clair | 59.95% | 24,218 | 39.21% | 15,838 |
| Saline | 45.95% | 1,054 | 50.48% | 1,158 |
| Sangamon | 46.91% | 9,295 | 52.57% | 10,416 |
| Schuyler | 54.36% | 368 | 43.43% | 294 |
| Scott | 46.58% | 150 | 50.00% | 161 |
| Shelby | 44.09% | 783 | 52.98% | 941 |
| Stark | 47.13% | 197 | 51.44% | 215 |
| Stephenson | 49.00% | 1,989 | 49.99% | 2,029 |
| Tazewell | 44.71% | 5,905 | 54.46% | 7,192 |
| Union | 43.23% | 921 | 54.23% | 1,153 |
| Vermilion | 51.23% | 3,048 | 47.13% | 2,803 |
| Wabash | 49.72% | 356 | 48.18% | 345 |
| Warren | 49.02% | 726 | 50.03% | 741 |
| Washington | 39.67% | 409 | 57.71% | 595 |
| Wayne | 41.27% | 319 | 54.20% | 419 |
| White | 48.96% | 565 | 46.01% | 531 |
| Whiteside | 47.95% | 2,900 | 51.41% | 3,109 |
| Will | 47.06% | 42,799 | 52.42% | 47,674 |
| Williamson | 42.23% | 2,985 | 55.30% | 3,909 |
| Winnebago | 47.11% | 15,097 | 52.37% | 16,784 |
| Woodford | 43.80% | 1,279 | 55.48% | 1,620 |
| Total | 50.56% | 1,039,555 | 48.61% | 999,494 |
Analysis
Bernie Sanders was able to hold frontrunner Hillary Clinton to a narrow 2-point margin in her birth-state of Illinois, by winning with voters under the age of 45 (70%-30%) who made up 39% of the electorate and white voters (57-42) who made up 58% of the electorate. He also won men, 53-45. According to exit polls, Sanders narrowly won the Hispanic/Latino vote 50-49. However, Clinton won with African American voters (70-30), women (55-45), and older voters (63-36), especially senior citizens (70-29), thus narrowly carrying the state in which she was born.
According to exit polls, Clinton won among voters who made less than $50k a year, with Sanders winning more affluent voters.
As became a trend in the Democratic primary race, Hillary Clinton won Democrats (57-42) but Sanders won self-identified Independents (69-30).
Clinton performed well in Chicago where the electorate is more diverse (she won 54-46) and in the Cook Suburbs (she won 53-46). Sanders performed well in the Collar Counties (he won 52-47) in the north (he won 53-46) and in the central/south part of the state which is whiter and more rural (he won 54-45).[12]
References
- ↑ "ANALYSIS: 2016 Illinois Democratic Primary" (PDF).
- ↑ "Midwestern States a Toss Up Tuesday" (PDF).
- ↑ "Poll: Trump and Kasich neck-and-neck in Ohio; Trump leads in Florida".
- ↑ "Polls: Trump Ahead in Florida, Illinois; Kasich Leads in Ohio".
- ↑ "Illinois Democratic Presidential Primary March 8".
- ↑ "Clinton holds commanding lead over Sanders in Illinois". Retrieved 2016-03-08.
- ↑ "Illinois Democratic Presidential Primary".
- ↑ "Simon Poll: Clinton, Trump Lead in Illinois" (PDF).
- ↑ "Poll: Clinton Lead in Illinois Over Sanders Slips".
- ↑ "Poll: Bernie Sanders Gaining On Hillary Clinton In Illinois".
- ↑ "Kirk Unpopular, Trails Duckworth" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved 2015-07-29.
- ↑ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved 2016-09-25.