United States House of Representatives election in Montana, 2012

United States House of Representatives Election in Montana, 2012
Montana
November 6, 2012

 
Nominee Steve Daines Kim Gillan
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 255,468 204,939
Percentage 53.3% 42.7%

U.S. Representative before election

Denny Rehberg
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Steve Daines
Republican

Montana's at-large congressional district

The 2012 congressional election in Montana was held on November 6, 2012, to determine who would represent the state of Montana in the United States House of Representatives. Montana has one seat in the House, apportioned according to the 2010 United States Census. Incumbent Denny Rehberg did not run for reelection, choosing instead to run for the seat in the U.S. Senate.[1] A primary election was held on June 5, 2012.[2] Republican businessman Steve Daines won the open seat.

Republican nomination

Candidates

Withdrawn

Hypothetical polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Abarr
Steve
Daines
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (report) June 16-19, 2011 382 ± 5.0% 14% 22% 64%

Results

June 5th, 2012 Republican primary results[7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steve Daines 82,843 71.2
Republican Eric Brosten 21,012 18.1
Republican Vincent Melkus 12,420 10.7
Total votes 116,275 100

Democratic nomination

Candidates

Declined to run

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kim
Gillan
Sam
Rankin
Diane
Smith
Dave
Strohmaier
Rob
Stutz
Jason
Ward
Franke
Wilmer
Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 2629, 2012 332 ± 5.4% 21% 4% 13% 9% 1% 0% 11% 41%

Results

June 5th, 2012 Democratic primary results[7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kim Gillan 25,077 31.0
Democratic Franke Wilmer 14,836 18.4
Democratic Diane Smith 12,618 15.6
Democratic Dave Strohmaier 11,366 14.1
Democratic Sam Rankin 9,382 11.6
Democratic Jason Ward 4,959 6.1
Democratic Rob Stutz 2,586 3.2
Total votes 80,824 100

General election

Candidates

Results

Montana's At-large congressional district election, 2012[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steve Daines 255,468 53.25
Democratic Kim Gillan 204,939 42.72
Libertarian David Kaiser 19,333 4.03
Total votes 479,740 100.00
Republican hold

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Daines (R)
Kim
Gillan (D)
Other Undecided
Mason-Dixon September 17-19, 2012 625 ± 4.0% 46% 38% 2% 14%
Public Policy Polling September 10-11, 2012 656 ± 3.8% 40% 37% 9% 15%
Public Policy Polling April 2629, 2012 934 ± 3.2% 33% 27% 40%
Public Policy Polling June 1619, 2011 819 ± 3.4% 35% 27% 38%

References

  1. Johnson, Charles S. (February 5, 2011). "It's official: Rehberg says he's taking on Tester". Billings Gazette. Retrieved February 5, 2011.
  2. "Montana 2012 Primary and General Election Calendar" (PDF). Secretary of State Linda McCulloch. Retrieved August 16, 2011.
  3. Johnson, Charles S. (February 2, 2012). "Star Wars is top issue for GOP House candidate". Billings Gazette. Retrieved February 7, 2012.
  4. Slate, Judy (February 3, 2011). "Bozeman's Steve Daines comments on switching from Senate to House race". KXLF.com. Retrieved June 1, 2011.
  5. Johnson, Charles S. (March 6, 2012). "Ex-Marine from Hardin files for Montana's U.S. House seat". Missoulian. Retrieved March 11, 2012.
  6. "Republican Mont. candidate for Congress with KKK ties drops out due to lack of support". The Washington Post. October 5, 2011. Retrieved October 15, 2011.
  7. 1 2 "2012 STATEWIDE PRIMARY ELECTION CANVASS" (PDF). Secretary of State of Montana. Retrieved September 24, 2012.
  8. Banks, Marnee (June 21, 2011). "Kim Gillan enters Democratic race for US House". KAJ18.com. Retrieved June 21, 2011.
  9. "Billings real estate agent Rankin joins U.S. House race as Demo". Independent Record. March 9, 2012. Retrieved March 11, 2012.
  10. Dennison, Mike (November 3, 2011). "Whitefish businesswoman becomes 5th Democrat in U.S. House race". Billings Gazette. Retrieved November 11, 2011.
  11. Weller, Allyson (June 18, 2011). "Strohmaier announces run for Congress". KPAX. Retrieved June 20, 2011.
  12. Banks, Marnee (August 10, 2011). "Helena attorney Rob Stutz announces run for US House". KRTV. Retrieved August 16, 2011.
  13. Johnson, Charles S. (January 20, 2012). "Crow tribal member files as Democrat for U.S. House seat". Missoulian. Retrieved January 25, 2012.
  14. Banks, Marnee (February 1, 2011). "Wilmer of Bozeman announces U.S. House bid". KRTV.com. Retrieved June 1, 2011.
  15. "Gopher not running for Congress; she sets eye on Senate in 2014". Independent Record. March 14, 2012. Retrieved March 15, 2012.
  16. Drucker, David M. (June 9, 2011). "Could Schweitzer Challenge Baucus in 2014?". Roll Call. Retrieved June 10, 2011.
  17. Johnson, Charles S. (July 28, 2011). "Schweitzer says his future isn't in Congress". Billings Gazette. Retrieved August 2, 2011.
  18. Dennison, Mike (March 13, 2012). "Filing deadline: Busy day precedes busy election season". Independent Record. Retrieved March 15, 2012.
  19. http://sos.mt.gov/elections/2012/2012_General_Canvass.pdf

External links

Campaign websites
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