Theodore Modis

Theodore Modis
Theodore Modis

Born (1943-08-11) August 11, 1943
Greece
Nationality Greek, Swiss
Fields Physics - Forecasting - Business Consulting
Institutions CERN
University of Geneva
Growth Dynamics

Theodore Modis (born 1943) is a strategic business analyst, futurist, physicist, and international consultant. He specializes in applying fundamental scientific concepts to predicting social phenomena. In particular he uses the logistic function or S-curve to forecast markets, product sales, primary-energy substitutions, the diffusion of technologies, and generally any process that grows in competition.[1][2] He is a vehement critic of the concept of the Technological Singularity.[3]

He currently lives in Lugano, Switzerland.

Education

He went to Columbia University, New York, where he received a Masters in Electrical Engineering and a Ph.D. in High Energy Physics, (sponsor J. Steinberger). His secondary education was in Greece at Anatolia College in Thessaloniki, Greece.

Career

Modis carried out research in particle physics experiments at Brookhaven National Laboratories and CERN, before moving to work at Digital Equipment Corporation for more than a decade as the head of a management science consultants group. He has taught at Columbia University, the University of Geneva, the European business schools INSEAD and IMD, and was a professor at DUXX Graduate School of Business Leadership in Monterrey, Mexico between 1998-2001. He has been in the advisory board of the international journal Technological Forecasting & Social Change since 1991.[4] He is also the founder of Growth Dynamics, a Swiss-based organization specializing in business strategy, strategic forecasting and management consulting.[5]

Publications

He has published about one hundred articles in scientific and in business journals, as well as eight books: Predictions, Conquering Uncertainty, An S-Shaped Trail to Wall Street (treating the New York Stock Exchange as an ecosystem), Predictions: 10 Years Later, Bestseller Driven, Street Science, Natural Laws in the Service of the Decision Maker, Decision-Making for a New World, and An S-shaped Adventure: "Predictions" 20 Years Later. His books have appeared in a number of other languages; Predictions has been translated into German, Japanese, and Greek, and Conquering Uncertainty has been translated into Chinese Long Form, Chinese Short Form, Greek, and Dutch.

Distinctions

Praise for Predictions

iPhone/iPad Applications

He has created two applications for iPhone/iPad, The S_Curve and Biorhythm_Science. Together with Vasco Almeida they created applications that forecast stock prices like species by treating the stock market as an ecosystem: Stock Fcsts and 2Stock Fcsts for the iPhone and Stocks' Futures and 2Stocks' Future for the iPad.[13]

Partial bibliography

References

  1. ↑ Modis, Theodore (2013). "Long-Term GDP Forecasts and the Prospects for Growth" (PDF). Technological Forecasting & Social Change. 80: 1557.
  2. ↑ Modis, Theodore (1994). "Life Cycles - Forecasting the Rise and Fall of Almost Anything" (PDF). The Futurist. 28 (5): 20.
  3. ↑ Eden, Amnon H.; et al. (2012). Singularity Hypothesis (PDF). New York: Springer. p. 311. ISBN 978-3-642-32560-1.
  4. ↑ http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaleditorialboard.cws_home/505740/editorialboard
  5. ↑ http://ch.linkedin.com/pub/theodore-modis/0/222/140/
  6. ↑ From the back cover in Modis, Theodore (1992). Predictions. New York: Simon & Schuster. ISBN 0-671-75917-5.
  7. ↑ From the back cover in Modis, Theodore (1992). Predictions. New York: Simon & Schuster. ISBN 0-671-75917-5.
  8. ↑ Linstone, Harold (1992). "Editor-in-chief". Technological Forecasting & Social Change. 42 (3): 317–319.
  9. ↑ Kelly, Kevin (1994). Out ofControl. New York: Addison Wesley. pp. 436–437. ISBN 0-201-48340-8.
  10. ↑ The Futurist. November–December 1992. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  11. ↑ Land, Kenneth C. "S-Curves Everywhere". Science. 259 (26 February 1993).
  12. ↑ Church, Vernon. "A New Kind of Crystal Ball". Newsweek (26 October 1992).
  13. ↑ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tqb0ykBHadQ

External links

  1. ↑ Martin Beech, "Rejuvenating the Sun and Avoiding Other Global Catastrophes", Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, 2008
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